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Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd (2070) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 2.8B TWD (≈ $88.6M) · ISIN TW0002070000

What is Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd really worth?

CC Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd 2070 · TWO
Price63.00 TWD
Fair Value32.04 TWD
Upside−49.1%
Quality61/100

A solid business, but trading 97% above our fair value of 32.04 TWD.

As of Aug 29, 2026, the fair value of Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd is 32.04 TWD per share against a price of 63.00 TWD, so the fair value sits 49% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 15.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr)
!Moderate moat 58/100

For context

·2.38% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range 23.66 TWD – 42.52 TWD

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 29, 2026, revised from 32.19 TWD to 32.04 TWD (−0.5%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +18.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (42.52 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

116.00 TWD 24.13 TWD Fair Value 32.04 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 24.13 TWD – 116.00 TWD · fair‑value band 23.66 TWD – 42.52 TWD · the 63.00 TWD price screens above the 32.04 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd (2070) currently trades at 63.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.04 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 96.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 34.57 TWD per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the 63.00 TWD price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 15.32 TWD, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 706M TWD at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at 7.3M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 23.66 TWD (bear case) to 42.52 TWD (bull case); at 63.00 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −49%, 2070 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.4912 TWD per share, which is 1.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 21.07 TWD 26.46 TWD 36.20 TWD 82
Growth DCF 21.63 TWD 26.84 TWD 35.53 TWD 80
Owner Earnings 22.97 TWD 29.00 TWD 39.88 TWD 77
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 21.07 TWD 26.46 TWD 36.20 TWD 82
Owner Earnings 22.97 TWD 29.00 TWD 39.88 TWD 77
5Y Revenue Exit 22.96 TWD 31.62 TWD 44.07 TWD 73
5Y EBITDA Exit 29.38 TWD 42.58 TWD 59.79 TWD 75
5Y P/E Exit 27.59 TWD 39.53 TWD 53.51 TWD 71
10Y Revenue Exit 21.53 TWD 28.87 TWD 37.37 TWD 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 25.93 TWD 35.96 TWD 47.55 TWD 69
10Y P/E Exit 24.86 TWD 33.99 TWD 43.48 TWD 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 13.37 TWD 23.26 TWD 28.50 TWD 66
EPV 20.02 TWD 22.40 TWD 24.45 TWD 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 30.97 TWD 41.29 TWD 51.61 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 24.92 TWD 33.23 TWD 41.53 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 25.07 TWD 33.42 TWD 41.78 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 34.00 TWD 43.67 TWD 53.35 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 39.32 TWD 50.77 TWD 62.22 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 25.69 TWD 34.57 TWD 43.44 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.43 TWD 15.32 TWD 22.87 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 21.63 TWD 26.84 TWD 35.53 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 22.96 TWD 31.89 TWD 42.82 TWD 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income 19.06 TWD 20.54 TWD 24.21 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 20.02 TWD 22.40 TWD 24.93 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 21.87 TWD 31.24 TWD 40.61 TWD 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (34.57 TWD) versus Asset-Based (15.32 TWD). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 28.4
P/S ratio 3.36 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 2.22 TWD price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.4
Dividend yield 2.4% payout 67.6%
Net margin 11.8% FY2025
Return on equity 7.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 4.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 706M TWD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.2% 3y avg +4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) −34.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 69.7M TWD FY2025
Net debt 7.3M TWD FY2021 · ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Ching Chan Optical Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells screws, rivets, and mechanical equipment. It provides screw / bolt sorting machines, consecutively running optical sorting machines, electronic component optical inspection machines, nut / washer series, rod / stud series, eddy current sorting machines, and accessories for sorting machines; …

Full company description

Ching Chan Optical Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells screws, rivets, and mechanical equipment. It provides screw / bolt sorting machines, consecutively running optical sorting machines, electronic component optical inspection machines, nut / washer series, rod / stud series, eddy current sorting machines, and accessories for sorting machines; process monitoring; and monitoring systems. The company's products are used in passive components, semiconductors, LEDs, and other industries. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 694M TWD in FY2025 versus 597M TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was 82.2M TWD in FY2025, compounding −3.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
694M TWD
Latest YoY
−3.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in TWD) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+9.1% · in TWD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+6.7%
Dividend yield2.4%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7.6% (2020) → 13.7% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop163% (2020) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in TWD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.9%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue +3.9%/yr
FY21 597M TWD
FY22 604M TWD
FY23 622M TWD
FY24 715M TWD
FY25 694M TWD
Net income −3.6%/yr
FY21 95.2M TWD
FY22 83.0M TWD
FY23 80.7M TWD
FY24 106M TWD
FY25 82.2M TWD

2070 screens 97% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2070.TWO

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 792 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.93× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.76× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 16.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 21
PAST44 · sector 28
HEALTH96 · sector 96
DIVIDEND48 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $941.84 $131.95 −86%
SIE SIE €289.85 €139.77 −52%
Eaton Corporation ETN $402.78 $168.65 −58%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $995.02 $398.69 −60%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.12 $145.84 −46%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.18 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd (2070) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 32.04 TWD versus a price of 63.00 TWD, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2070?
Our model-based fair value for Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd is 32.04 TWD (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 63.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2070?
Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd (2070)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 32.04 TWD (as of Aug 29, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 23.66 TWD, optimistic scenario 42.52 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 32.04 TWD, about −49% upside versus a price of 63.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 23.66 TWD, optimistic scenario 42.52 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd (2070)?
Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 706M TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2070?
The net profit margin of Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd is about 10.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ching Chan Optical Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.38% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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