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Hsin Yung Chien Co (2114) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 6.9B TWD

HY Hsin Yung Chien Co 2114 · TW
Price88.00 TWD
Fair Value104.38 TWD
Upside+18.6%
Quality79/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 27.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.60% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 76/100
Evidence: High Range 76.38 TWD – 129.70 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −1.9% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 76.38 TWD (bear) to 129.70 TWD (bull), base 104.38 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 79/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

136.27 TWD 79.20 TWD Fair Value 104.38 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 79.20 TWD – 136.27 TWD · fair‑value band 76.38 TWD – 129.70 TWD · the 88.00 TWD price screens below the 104.38 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hsin Yung Chien Co (2114) currently trades at 88.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 104.38 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 18.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hsin Yung Chien Co generated revenue of 1.6B TWD at a net margin of 27.5%. Revenue grew 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 240M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 76.38 TWD (bear case) to 129.70 TWD (bull case); at 88.00 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 19%, 2114 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 76.31 TWD 100.61 TWD 140.87 TWD 80
Residual Income 39.37 TWD 47.06 TWD 81.41 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 46.17 TWD 60.11 TWD 77.93 TWD 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 73.39 TWD 98.62 TWD 143.89 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 67.76 TWD 90.93 TWD 132.50 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 46.17 TWD 58.44 TWD 76.14 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 71.03 TWD 101.48 TWD 141.81 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 78.80 TWD 114.92 TWD 158.08 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 56.07 TWD 66.06 TWD 76.11 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 71.48 TWD 92.07 TWD 113.78 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 76.09 TWD 100.19 TWD 123.12 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 39.32 TWD 48.06 TWD 54.07 TWD 54
EPV 49.89 TWD 57.07 TWD 63.26 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 43.91 TWD 47.86 TWD 53.82 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 43.91 TWD 54.26 TWD 68.39 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 91.08 TWD 121.43 TWD 151.79 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 30.70 TWD 40.94 TWD 51.17 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 73.73 TWD 98.30 TWD 122.88 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 85.81 TWD 112.94 TWD 140.07 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 80.41 TWD 105.74 TWD 131.06 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 30.23 TWD 41.28 TWD 52.33 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 20.33 TWD 27.25 TWD 40.67 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 76.31 TWD 100.61 TWD 140.87 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 46.17 TWD 60.11 TWD 77.93 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 39.37 TWD 47.06 TWD 81.41 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 49.89 TWD 58.68 TWD 67.89 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 64.31 TWD 91.87 TWD 119.44 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (98.30 TWD) versus Asset-Based (27.25 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.4%
Net margin 27.5%
Return on equity 13.8%
Free cash flow 581M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 15.3
More key figures
Operating margin 32.2%
EPS (TTM) 5.76 TWD
Dividend yield 5.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -2.1%
Net cash 240M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 79/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hsin Yung Chien Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells rubber conveyor belts in Taiwan and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes transmission belts; rubber sheets; inflatable rubber dam products; straight warp, chevron, and kevlar conveyor belts; specialty conveyor belts, including heat, oil, flame, abrasion, cold, bucket elevator and chemical …

Full company description

Hsin Yung Chien Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells rubber conveyor belts in Taiwan and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes transmission belts; rubber sheets; inflatable rubber dam products; straight warp, chevron, and kevlar conveyor belts; specialty conveyor belts, including heat, oil, flame, abrasion, cold, bucket elevator and chemical resistant conveyor belts; light duty conveyor belts, such as rough top, impression, bare bottom, bare and bare, diamond, and thin cover and cover belts; steel cord conveyor belts, including general, RIP stop, and special steel cord belts, as well as IW steel mesh conveyor belts; and pipe, rip stop, side wall, and EP/NN conveyor belts, as well as seal belts and bucket elevator belts under the KING brand. Its conveyor belts are used in green energy hydropower, mining, steel, power plant, aviation, transportation, agriculture, logistics, and manufacturing industries. The company also provides hot-pressing cushion pads under the Silieet brand name. In addition, it offers composite products, such as thermoplastic carbon bike frames and rims, as well as carbon fiber thermoplastic reinforced composite materials for car parts, bicycle parts, and customer goods under the Newsheet brand name. The company was formerly known as Hsin Yung Chien Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hsin Yung Chien Co., Ltd. in 2003. Hsin Yung Chien Co., Ltd. was founded in 1964 and is based in Nantou City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hsin Yung Chien Co reported revenue of 1.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 451M TWD in FY2025, compounding −17.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.6B TWD
Latest YoY
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Revenue −4.7%/yr
FY21 1.9B TWD
FY22 1.8B TWD
FY23 1.6B TWD
FY24 1.5B TWD
FY25 1.6B TWD
Net income −17.4%/yr
FY21 968M TWD
FY22 392M TWD
FY23 469M TWD
FY24 398M TWD
FY25 451M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +0.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share −2.0 pp

of which total revenue −2.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +1.8 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hsin Yung Chien Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2114

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.17× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.22× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 58 · sector 17
FUTURE 47 · sector 24
PAST 55 · sector 26
HEALTH 97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hsin Yung Chien Co (2114) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 104.38 TWD versus a price of 88.00 TWD, about +19% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2114?
Our model-based fair value for Hsin Yung Chien Co is 104.38 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 88.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2114?
Hsin Yung Chien Co has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hsin Yung Chien Co (2114)?
Hsin Yung Chien Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2114?
The net profit margin of Hsin Yung Chien Co is about 27.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hsin Yung Chien Co pay a dividend?
Hsin Yung Chien Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.65% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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