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Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co (002920) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 49.5B CNY

HD Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co 002920 · SHE
Price¥92.29
Fair Value¥69.89
Upside-24.3%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.51% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range ¥46.20 – ¥124.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from ¥78.40 to ¥69.89 (−10.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +7.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (¥46.20 to ¥124.49). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥190.08 ¥73.82 Fair Value ¥69.89 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥73.82 – ¥190.08 · fair‑value band ¥46.20 – ¥124.49 · the ¥92.29 price screens above the ¥69.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co (002920) currently trades at ¥92.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥69.89, implying the stock looks roughly 24.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co generated revenue of 32.3B CNY at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue declined 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 426M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥46.20 (bear case) to ¥124.49 (bull case); at ¥92.29, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -24%, 002920 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥30.80 ¥55.58 ¥105.66 80
Residual Income ¥27.29 ¥36.22 ¥113.04 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥43.62 ¥86.73 ¥170.28 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥32.62 ¥50.19 ¥106.12 38
Owner Earnings ¥39.66 ¥87.69 ¥188.53 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥42.16 ¥76.14 ¥147.65 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥48.61 ¥89.18 ¥168.92 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥61.61 ¥145.12 ¥260.62 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥38.38 ¥92.56 ¥130.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥44.87 ¥106.45 ¥216.70 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥54.35 ¥134.45 ¥270.06 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥27.96 ¥194.96 ¥273.60 54
Lynch FV ¥80.00 ¥114.29 ¥148.58 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥80.00 ¥114.29 ¥148.58 46
EPV ¥38.99 ¥45.16 ¥50.55 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥10.66 ¥22.16 ¥35.15 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥10.66 ¥18.69 ¥23.26 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥67.83 ¥90.45 ¥113.06 63
P/S Multiple ¥49.10 ¥65.46 ¥81.83 58
P/B Multiple ¥52.42 ¥69.89 ¥87.36 55
EV/EBIT ¥60.27 ¥79.69 ¥99.11 53
EV/EBITDA ¥52.62 ¥69.49 ¥86.37 54
EV/Revenue ¥41.28 ¥58.11 ¥74.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥12.92 ¥17.31 ¥25.83 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥30.80 ¥55.58 ¥105.66 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥43.62 ¥86.73 ¥170.28 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥27.29 ¥36.22 ¥113.04 76
ROIC Compounder ¥50.78 ¥73.62 ¥90.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥101.81 ¥145.44 ¥189.07 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥145.44) versus Asset-Based (¥17.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 32.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.4%
Net margin 7.2%
Return on equity 18.3%
Free cash flow 1.1B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 23.3
More key figures
Operating margin 10.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥4.06
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -26.7%
Net cash 426M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive electronic products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive electronic products in China and internationally. The company offers smart cabin solutions, including smart display system, such as display system and head-up display; smart interaction system comprising instrument clusters, IVI, smart device, and smart amplifier; and smart domain controller platform, which includes smart vehicle control and smart cabin domain controller. It also provides smart driving solutions, such as smart driving computing system comprising assisted driving domain controller; and smart driving sensor, including camera, millimeter wave radar, and smart antennas. In addition, the company offers connected service solutions, such as ecosystem software comprising blue whale ecosystem, D sharing, OTA solution, and cybersecurity; software services comprising software testing, certification, and tooling, in-vehicle business mid-platform service, and software consulting and nearby; and smart entry, which includes keyless entry, child presence detection, kick sensor, and key fob. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Huizhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co reported revenue of ¥32.6B in FY2025 versus ¥9.6B in FY2021, a compound +35.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.5B in FY2025, compounding +31.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
32.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+17.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+29.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+36.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+27.4%
Revenue +35.8%/yr
FY21 ¥9.6B
FY22 ¥14.9B
FY23 ¥21.9B
FY24 ¥27.6B
FY25 ¥32.6B
Net income +31.0%/yr
FY21 ¥833M
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.5B
FY24 ¥2.0B
FY25 ¥2.5B

002920 screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002920

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −24% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.21× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.53× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 1 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 73 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 30 · sector 30

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co (002920) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥69.89 versus a price of ¥92.29, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002920?
Our model-based fair value for Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co is ¥69.89 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥92.29.
What is the quality score of 002920?
Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co (002920)?
Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002920?
The net profit margin of Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co pay a dividend?
Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.28% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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