ECM Libra Group (2143) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · MY · Market cap 94.1M MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +2.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1400 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1400 MYR – 0.2950 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0800 MYR – 0.1400 MYR · the 0.1950 MYR price screens above the 0.1100 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
ECM Libra Group (2143) currently trades at 0.1950 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1100 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 43.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, ECM Libra Group generated revenue of 43.2M MYR at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue grew 15.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at 50.2M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0800 MYR (bear case) to 0.1400 MYR (bull case); at 0.1950 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -44%, 2143 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.2600 MYR) versus DCF Models (0.0500 MYR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ECM Libra Group Berhad, an investment holding company, owns, operates, and manages hotels and restaurants in Malaysia and the United Kingdom. It operates in three segments: Hospitality, Investment Holding, and Structured Financing.
Full company description
ECM Libra Group Berhad, an investment holding company, owns, operates, and manages hotels and restaurants in Malaysia and the United Kingdom. It operates in three segments: Hospitality, Investment Holding, and Structured Financing. The company's portfolio includes hotels under the TUNE Hotels, Ormond Hotels, and MoMo's brands, as well as a K12 British boarding school under the Epsom College name. It also engages in general investment; holding property; credit; business management consultancy; structured lending; and financial-related services. The company was formerly known as ECM Libra Financial Group Berhad and changed its name to ECM Libra Group Berhad in December 2019. ECM Libra Group Berhad was founded in 2002 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
ECM Libra Group reported revenue of 45.4M MYR in FY2026 versus 13.3M MYR in FY2022, a compound +35.9%/yr. Reported net income was 4.2M MYR in FY2026.
2143 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →
Peer Group
Lodging · 168 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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