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Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Zhixin Group Holding Limited HK$0.48, price HK$0.48, upside +1.1%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · HK · ISIN KYG989A41070

ZG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Zhixin Group Holding Limited

2187 · HK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value HK$0.4800 · Fairly valued (+1.1%)
!Quality 29/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -10.6% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 3/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$10.10 HK$0.3750 Fair Value HK$0.4800 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3750 – HK$10.10 · fair‑value band HK$0.3600 – HK$0.7200 · the HK$0.4750 price screens below the HK$0.4800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhixin Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and supplies concrete-based building materials in the People's Republic of China. The company provides ready-mixed concrete and precast concrete components.

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Zhixin Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and supplies concrete-based building materials in the People's Republic of China. The company provides ready-mixed concrete and precast concrete components. It also offers recycles iron ore tailings; and manufactures photovoltaic equipment, semiconductor devices, and new construction materials, as well as bricks. The company serves construction companies for various building and construction projects, including municipal, infrastructural, commercial, industrial, and residential projects for public and private sectors; and mineral trading companies. Zhixin Group Holding Limited was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Xiamen, China.

Stock analysis

Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187) currently trades at HK$0.4750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4800, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.0%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.3600 (bear) to HK$0.7200 (bull), the price of HK$0.4750 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Zhixin Group Holding Limited reported revenue of 553M CNY in FY2025 versus 765M CNY in FY2021, a compound −7.8%/yr. Reported net income was −58.5M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$530M (≈ $67.5M) · P/S ratio 0.96 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0700 · Net margin −10.6% · Return on equity −16.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% · Operating margin −1.6% · Revenue (TTM) 553M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 1%, 2187 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.3600 Fair Value HK$0.4800 Bull HK$0.7200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2100 HK$0.2800 HK$0.4200 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2100 HK$0.2800 HK$0.4200 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.6% (2020) → −8.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 248 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +1.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −10.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −12.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.10× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)35 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 7
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)45 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 45

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $85.04 $74.79 −12%
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 67.26 CHF 33.08 −51%
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $484.30 $207.85 −57%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,155 ₹4,719 −58%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $245.00 $131.66 −46%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥43.06 ¥28.26 −34%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,191 ₹1,245 −61%
Amrize AG AMRZ $38.22 $35.08 −8%
James Hardie Industries plc JHX A$36.98 A$8.06 −78%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.93 ¥28.02 +66%

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HK$0.4800 +1%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhixin Group Holding Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2187

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4800 versus a price of HK$0.4750, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2187?
Our model-based fair value for Zhixin Group Holding Limited is HK$0.4800 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4750.
What is the quality score of 2187?
Zhixin Group Holding Limited has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4800 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3600, optimistic scenario HK$0.7200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhixin Group Holding Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4800, about +1% upside versus a price of HK$0.4750 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3600, optimistic scenario HK$0.7200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
Zhixin Group Holding Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 553M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhixin Group Holding Limited it is HK$0.4800 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4750. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhixin Group Holding Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2187 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4750, fair value HK$0.4800, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2187?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4800). For Zhixin Group Holding Limited the two are HK$0.0050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhixin Group Holding Limited worth?
The market values Zhixin Group Holding Limited at about HK$530M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4750; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2187?
Our models span a range for Zhixin Group Holding Limited: cautious scenario HK$0.3600, base HK$0.4800, optimistic HK$0.7200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.4750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhixin Group Holding Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −16.8%, debt of 1.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2187 from its 52-week high?
Zhixin Group Holding Limited trades at HK$0.4750, about 50% below its 52-week high of HK$0.9500 and 27% above the low of HK$0.3750 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhixin Group Holding Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhixin Group Holding Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.4750, calculated fair value HK$0.4800 (+1%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2187 calculated?
We run Zhixin Group Holding Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhixin Group Holding Limited currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.4750. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4800, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhixin Group Holding Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3600 to HK$0.7200) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Zhixin Group Holding Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
The market capitalisation of Zhixin Group Holding Limited is HK$530M (≈ $67.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhixin Group Holding Limited is 0.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
Earnings per share at Zhixin Group Holding Limited are HK$−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
The net margin of Zhixin Group Holding Limited is −10.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhixin Group Holding Limited is −16.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhixin Group Holding Limited is −0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
The operating margin of Zhixin Group Holding Limited is −1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
Revenue at Zhixin Group Holding Limited is growing −12.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187)?
Earnings per share at Zhixin Group Holding Limited are growing −89.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhixin Group Holding Limited is −123M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zhixin Group Holding Limited (2187) carry?
The net debt of Zhixin Group Holding Limited is 459M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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