Kato Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (2189) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$460M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 53% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.5100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.5100 to HK$0.9400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.4061 – HK$0.5388 · fair‑value band HK$0.5100 – HK$0.9400 · the HK$0.4900 price screens below the HK$0.7500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kato Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (2189) currently trades at HK$0.4900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7500, implying the stock looks roughly 53.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kato Hong Kong Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$343M at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at HK$202M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.5100 (bear case) to HK$0.9400 (bull case); at HK$0.4900, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 53%, 2189 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.9200) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.2600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kato (Hong Kong) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a residential care home for the elderly in Hong Kong. The company operates in two segments, Elderly Care Services and Investment Properties Holding.
Full company description
Kato (Hong Kong) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a residential care home for the elderly in Hong Kong. The company operates in two segments, Elderly Care Services and Investment Properties Holding. It provides residential care services for the elderly, including provision of accommodation, professional nursing and care-taking, nutritional management, medical, physiotherapy and occupational therapy, physiotherapy and occupational therapy, psychological and social care, and individual care and recreational services. The company also sells healthcare and medical goods; and offers add-on healthcare services to its residents. In addition, it is involved in the operation of home care support services; provision of medical and laboratory services; and property rental and management activities. The company operates care and attention homes for the elderly under the Fai To, Kato, Happy Luck Home, Tsuen Wan Centre, Pine Villa, Hing Ten Elderly Centre, and Ka Shui Garden brand names. It serves the social welfare department and individual customers. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Tuen Mun, Hong Kong. Kato (Hong Kong) Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Sheung Fung Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Kato Hong Kong Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$354M in FY2026 versus HK$320M in FY2022, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$34.2M in FY2026, compounding −23.3%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +9.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Medical Care Facilities · 266 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $414.59 | $547.67 | +32% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €46.82 | €32.15 | -31% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 235.00 SAR | 112.37 SAR | -52% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F | 2.67 SGD | 1.44 SGD | -46% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $266.79 | $330.25 | +24% |
| Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 | R$33.97 | R$47.31 | +39% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,565 | ₹2,955 | -65% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥8.87 | ¥7.67 | -14% |
| Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH | ₹1,008 | ₹284.87 | -72% |
| Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company BDMS | 19.70 THB | 18.57 THB | -6% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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