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TK Group(Holdings)Ltd (2283) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$1.7B (≈ $211M) · ISIN KYG889391069

What is TK Group(Holdings)Ltd really worth?

TG TK Group(Holdings)Ltd 2283 · HK
PriceHK$1.61
Fair ValueHK$5.51
Upside+242.2%
Quality66/100

A solid business, trading 71% below our fair value of HK$5.51.

As of Aug 20, 2026, the fair value of TK Group(Holdings)Ltd is HK$5.51 per share against a price of HK$1.61, so the fair value sits 242% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (12/13)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.1% net margin
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·6.52% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range HK$4.13 – HK$6.89

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −6.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$4.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.70 HK$1.03 Fair Value HK$5.51 Dec 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.03 – HK$2.70 · fair‑value band HK$4.13 – HK$6.89 · the HK$1.61 price screens below the HK$5.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

TK Group(Holdings)Ltd (2283) currently trades at HK$1.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.51, implying the stock looks roughly 70.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$5.28 per share, and 23 of the 25 models we run sit above the HK$1.61 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.46, and 2 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, TK Group(Holdings)Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.4B at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$4.13 (bear case) to HK$6.89 (bull case); at HK$1.61, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at 242%, 2283 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$4.17 HK$5.17 HK$6.43 82
Growth DCF HK$4.21 HK$5.12 HK$6.20 80
Owner Earnings HK$4.25 HK$5.28 HK$6.57 78
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$4.17 HK$5.17 HK$6.43 82
Owner Earnings HK$4.25 HK$5.28 HK$6.57 78
5Y Revenue Exit HK$4.00 HK$5.25 HK$6.78 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$5.09 HK$7.20 HK$9.58 76
5Y P/E Exit HK$4.67 HK$6.46 HK$8.25 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.98 HK$5.05 HK$6.36 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.67 HK$6.26 HK$8.23 69
10Y P/E Exit HK$4.43 HK$5.80 HK$7.34 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.79 HK$4.43 HK$5.74 65
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.8000 HK$1.15 HK$1.49 57
EPV HK$3.35 HK$3.61 HK$3.83 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.80 HK$2.98 HK$4.21 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.80 HK$2.56 HK$3.28 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$4.13 HK$5.51 HK$6.89 63
P/S Multiple HK$3.35 HK$4.46 HK$5.58 58
P/B Multiple HK$3.35 HK$4.46 HK$5.58 55
EV/EBIT HK$5.10 HK$6.33 HK$7.57 66
EV/EBITDA HK$6.36 HK$8.00 HK$9.65 67
EV/Revenue HK$4.05 HK$5.18 HK$6.31 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.09 HK$1.46 HK$2.17 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$4.21 HK$5.12 HK$6.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$4.00 HK$5.29 HK$6.69 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.92 HK$2.14 HK$2.91 76
ROIC Compounder HK$3.42 HK$3.78 HK$4.13 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$3.18 HK$4.54 HK$5.90 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$5.28) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.46). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 7.7 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 0.70 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.7
Dividend yield 6.5% payout 105%
Net margin 9.1% FY2025
Return on equity 12.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 11.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$2.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −0.5% 3y avg +1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −29.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$256M FY2025
Net cash HK$1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

TK Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, sale, subcontracting, fabrication, and modification of molds and plastic components. It operates through Mold Fabrication and Plastic Components Manufacturing segments. The company provides precision, high performance, special decoration, and medical molding products.

Full company description

TK Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, sale, subcontracting, fabrication, and modification of molds and plastic components. It operates through Mold Fabrication and Plastic Components Manufacturing segments. The company provides precision, high performance, special decoration, and medical molding products. It also offers tooling solutions, including medical, packing, personal care, electronic, automotive, home appliance, and special molds. In addition, the company provides consumer electronics, including headphones, AR glasses, and game controllers; smart home products, such as speakers and family tablets; medical devices; personal care products, including electric toothbrushes, beauty instruments, and neck massagers; electronic atomizers; automotive products, such as car dashboards, dashboard brackets, fenders, and air filters; commercial products, including video conference communication, and IP conference phones. It serves customers in various markets, including mobile phones and wearable devices, automobiles, medical and personal healthcare, commercial telecommunications equipment, electronic atomizers, smart home, and others. The company operates in the People's Republic of China, Southeast Asia, Hong Kong, Europe, the United States, and internationally. TK Group (Holdings) Limited was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TK Group(Holdings)Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.4B in FY2025 versus HK$2.4B in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$218M in FY2025, compounding −6.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.4B
Latest YoY
+1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (15Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+1.4% · in HKD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−5.1%
Dividend yield6.5%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −5.1% vs 10Y 1.5%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11.5% (2020) → 10.0% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop40% (2020) · in HKD
Revenue −0.1%/yr
FY21 HK$2.4B
FY22 HK$2.3B
FY23 HK$1.9B
FY24 HK$2.4B
FY25 HK$2.4B
Net income −6.3%/yr
FY21 HK$282M
FY22 HK$227M
FY23 HK$204M
FY24 HK$262M
FY25 HK$218M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.3 %

of which total revenue +4.3 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −1.4 %
Tax rate −0.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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TK Group(Holdings)Ltd · Fair Value
HK$5.51 +71%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TK Group(Holdings)Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2283.HK

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 695 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth −1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.5% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.92× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.69× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 20
PAST50 · sector 23
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND100 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $308.09 $122.14 −60%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,282 CHF 1,498 −54%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥77.66 ¥68.03 −12%
500820 500820 ₹2,757 ₹557.43 −80%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 456.40 kr 169.99 −63%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,630 ₹696.23 −74%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $114.22 $71.31 −38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TK Group(Holdings)Ltd (2283) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$5.51 versus a price of HK$1.61, about +242% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2283?
Our model-based fair value for TK Group(Holdings)Ltd is HK$5.51 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.61.
What is the quality score of 2283?
TK Group(Holdings)Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TK Group(Holdings)Ltd (2283)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$5.51 (as of Aug 20, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$4.13, optimistic scenario HK$6.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TK Group(Holdings)Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$5.51, about +242% upside versus a price of HK$1.61 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$4.13, optimistic scenario HK$6.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TK Group(Holdings)Ltd (2283)?
TK Group(Holdings)Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2283?
The net profit margin of TK Group(Holdings)Ltd is about 9.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does TK Group(Holdings)Ltd pay a dividend?
TK Group(Holdings)Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.52% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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