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Chervon Holdings Ltd (2285) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$9.7B

CH Chervon Holdings Ltd 2285 · HK
PriceHK$20.58
Fair ValueHK$4.03
Upside-80.4%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.34% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range HK$3.02 – HK$5.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +7.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$5.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$57.03 HK$9.64 Fair Value HK$4.03 Dec 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range HK$9.64 – HK$57.03 · fair‑value band HK$3.02 – HK$5.03 · the HK$20.58 price screens above the HK$4.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Chervon Holdings Ltd (2285) currently trades at HK$20.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.03, implying the stock looks roughly 80.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chervon Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.6B at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue declined 25.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$104M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$3.02 (bear case) to HK$5.03 (bull case); at HK$20.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -80%, 2285 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$4.00 HK$6.17 HK$9.50 80
Residual Income HK$1.73 HK$1.89 HK$2.41 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.09 HK$4.63 HK$6.54 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$4.00 HK$6.30 HK$9.92 38
Owner Earnings HK$2.25 HK$3.40 HK$5.22 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.09 HK$4.63 HK$6.63 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.70 HK$5.83 HK$8.40 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$3.49 HK$5.43 HK$7.54 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.32 HK$4.83 HK$6.96 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.77 HK$5.67 HK$8.35 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$3.64 HK$5.39 HK$7.67 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.30 HK$5.17 HK$7.02 54
Lynch FV HK$1.28 HK$1.83 HK$2.37 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$1.28 HK$1.83 HK$2.37 46
EPV HK$2.37 HK$2.66 HK$2.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$2.05 HK$4.09 HK$6.19 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$2.05 HK$3.53 HK$4.31 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$3.02 HK$4.03 HK$5.03 63
P/S Multiple HK$2.44 HK$3.26 HK$4.07 58
P/B Multiple HK$2.44 HK$3.26 HK$4.07 55
EV/EBIT HK$3.55 HK$4.57 HK$5.59 53
EV/EBITDA HK$3.86 HK$4.98 HK$6.10 54
EV/Revenue HK$2.68 HK$3.61 HK$4.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.00 HK$1.34 HK$2.00 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$4.00 HK$6.17 HK$9.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.09 HK$4.63 HK$6.54 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.73 HK$1.89 HK$2.41 76
ROIC Compounder HK$2.49 HK$3.10 HK$3.90 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.26 HK$3.23 HK$4.20 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$5.39) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -25.3%
Net margin 6.0%
Return on equity 9.5%
Free cash flow HK$154M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.8 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 0.7%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1900
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +55.7%
Net cash HK$104M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 7
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chervon Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, testing, sale, and after-sale servicing of power tools, outdoor power equipment, and related products in North America, Europe, China, and internationally. It operates through Power Tools, Outdoor Power Equipment, and Others segments.

Full company description

Chervon Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, testing, sale, and after-sale servicing of power tools, outdoor power equipment, and related products in North America, Europe, China, and internationally. It operates through Power Tools, Outdoor Power Equipment, and Others segments. The company offers power tools and accessories for consumer, professionals, and industrial users, as well as original design manufacturer (ODM) customers; and outdoor tools and its accessories for professional and mass-market users. It provides its products under the FLEX, DEVON, EGO, SKIL, X-TRON and ODM brand names. It is also involved in investment holding activities; trading and financial management; sale of parts and components to home appliances business; design, operation, and sale of do-it-yourself products; and production and sale of gardening tools. Chervon Holdings Limited was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chervon Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.6B in FY2025 versus HK$1.8B in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$97.6M in FY2025, compounding −9.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.6B
Latest YoY
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Revenue −1.9%/yr
FY21 HK$1.8B
FY22 HK$2.0B
FY23 HK$1.4B
FY24 HK$1.8B
FY25 HK$1.6B
Net income −9.3%/yr
FY21 HK$144M
FY22 HK$139M
FY23 −HK$37.1M
FY24 HK$112M
FY25 HK$97.6M

2285 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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HK$4.03 −80%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chervon Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2285

Peer Group

Tools & Accessories · 122 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.22× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 2
FUTURE 0 · sector 14
PAST 38 · sector 29
HEALTH 93 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$144.80 HK$78.62 -46%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $408.44 $344.67 -16%
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $555.65 $179.94 -68%
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $286.97 $151.86 -47%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $102.90 $52.80 -49%
AB SKF (publ) SKFB kr 259.50 kr 192.57 -26%
The Timken Company TKR $130.25 $64.85 -50%
The Toro Company TTC $97.92 $69.71 -29%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥30.08 ¥30.38 +1%
Hiwin Technologies Corporation 2049 381.00 TWD 73.32 TWD -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chervon Holdings Ltd (2285) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.03 versus a price of HK$20.58, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2285?
Our model-based fair value for Chervon Holdings Ltd is HK$4.03 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$20.58.
What is the quality score of 2285?
Chervon Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chervon Holdings Ltd (2285)?
Chervon Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2285?
The net profit margin of Chervon Holdings Ltd is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chervon Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Chervon Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.34% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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