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Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Amtran Technology Co Ltd TWD 13.64, price TWD 40.80, upside -66.6%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · TW · ISIN TW0002489002

AT Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Amtran Technology Co Ltd

2489 · TW

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 13.64 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−67%)
!Quality 54/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·2.94% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

55.06 TWD 1.15 TWD Fair Value 13.64 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.15 TWD – 55.06 TWD · fair‑value band 9.74 TWD – 16.13 TWD · the 40.80 TWD price screens above the 13.64 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

AmTRAN Technology Co.,Ltd engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of monitors, computers, and computer peripherals in Taiwan, the United State, China, and internationally. The company offers display products; audio visual products; conference equipment; collaboration computer peripherals; and smart products.

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AmTRAN Technology Co.,Ltd engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of monitors, computers, and computer peripherals in Taiwan, the United State, China, and internationally. The company offers display products; audio visual products; conference equipment; collaboration computer peripherals; and smart products. AmTRAN Technology Co.,Ltd was incorporated in 1994 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489) currently trades at 40.80 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.64 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 199.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 24.73 TWD per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 40.80 TWD price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 5.89 TWD, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 9.74 TWD (bear) to 16.13 TWD (bull), the price of 40.80 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Amtran Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 24.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 22.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 792M TWD in FY2025, compounding −37.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 27.1B TWD (≈ $851M) · P/E ratio 33.7 · P/S ratio 1.08 · EPS (TTM) 1.21 TWD · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 3.2% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 3,440% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −67%, 2489 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 9.74 TWD Fair Value 13.64 TWD Bull 16.13 TWD
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0073 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 19.94 TWD 24.73 TWD 33.55 TWD 78
Residual Income 17.28 TWD 17.83 TWD 18.02 TWD 76
EPV 10.14 TWD 10.71 TWD 11.21 TWD 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 19.94 TWD 24.73 TWD 33.55 TWD 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.82 TWD 15.48 TWD 19.00 TWD 66
EPV 10.14 TWD 10.71 TWD 11.21 TWD 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 4.59 TWD 5.89 TWD 7.22 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 4.59 TWD 6.23 TWD 8.22 TWD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 21.41 TWD 28.55 TWD 35.69 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 16.55 TWD 22.06 TWD 27.58 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 16.55 TWD 22.06 TWD 27.58 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 16.39 TWD 19.62 TWD 22.84 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 20.53 TWD 25.14 TWD 29.75 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 13.23 TWD 16.03 TWD 18.83 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10.96 TWD 14.69 TWD 21.93 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 17.28 TWD 17.83 TWD 18.02 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 10.14 TWD 10.71 TWD 11.21 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 15.09 TWD 21.56 TWD 28.03 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 23 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7% vs −7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

2489 screens 199% overvalued. Compare with Samsung Electronics Co →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consumer Electronics · 127 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.04× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.08× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 25.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)47 · sector 5
PAST (return on equity)20 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)59 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 285,500 KRW 163,849 KRW −43%
Sony Group SONY $23.42 $30.15 +29%
Xiaomi Corporation 1810 HK$27.20 HK$44.47 +63%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 209,000 KRW 102,646 KRW −51%
Huaqin Co 603296 ¥79.93 ¥39.69 −50%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥24.64 ¥14.47 −41%
LG Corp 003550 111,900 KRW 90,615 KRW −19%
Shenzhen Transsion Holdings 688036 ¥56.80 ¥54.13 −5%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866 ¥123.90 ¥78.13 −37%
Dixon Technologies (India) Limited DIXON ₹13,084 ₹4,022 −69%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Amtran Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2489

Frequently asked questions

Is Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.64 TWD versus a price of 40.80 TWD, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2489?
Our model-based fair value for Amtran Technology Co Ltd is 13.64 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 40.80 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2489?
Amtran Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.64 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.74 TWD, optimistic scenario 16.13 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Amtran Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.64 TWD, about −67% upside versus a price of 40.80 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.74 TWD, optimistic scenario 16.13 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
Amtran Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.2B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Amtran Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Amtran Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Amtran Technology Co Ltd it is 13.64 TWD per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 40.80 TWD. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Amtran Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 2489 trades above its calculated fair value: price 40.80 TWD, fair value 13.64 TWD, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2489?
No. The price is what the market pays today (40.80 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.64 TWD). For Amtran Technology Co Ltd the two are 27.16 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Amtran Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Amtran Technology Co Ltd at about 27.1B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 40.80 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 13.64 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2489?
Our models span a range for Amtran Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario 9.74 TWD, base 13.64 TWD, optimistic 16.13 TWD per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 40.80 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2489?
Amtran Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.64 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 25.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
Balance-sheet figures for Amtran Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2489 from its 52-week high?
Amtran Technology Co Ltd trades at 40.80 TWD, about 26% below its 52-week high of 55.06 TWD and 3,440% above the low of 1.15 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.64 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Amtran Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Samsung Electronics Co, Sony Group, Xiaomi Corporation, LG Electronics Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Amtran Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 40.80 TWD, calculated fair value 13.64 TWD (−67%), Quality Score 54/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2489 calculated?
We run Amtran Technology Co Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 13.64 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Amtran Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 40.80 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 13.64 TWD, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Amtran Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (16.13 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Amtran Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
The market capitalisation of Amtran Technology Co Ltd is 27.1B TWD (≈ $851M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Amtran Technology Co Ltd is 1.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
Earnings per share at Amtran Technology Co Ltd are 1.21 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
The dividend yield of Amtran Technology Co Ltd is 2.9% (payout 99.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
The net margin of Amtran Technology Co Ltd is 3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Amtran Technology Co Ltd is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Amtran Technology Co Ltd is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
The operating margin of Amtran Technology Co Ltd is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
Revenue at Amtran Technology Co Ltd is growing +9.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489)?
Earnings per share at Amtran Technology Co Ltd are growing −53.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489) generate?
The free cash flow of Amtran Technology Co Ltd is −237M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Amtran Technology Co Ltd (2489) hold?
Amtran Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 3.5B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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