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Tze Shin International Co (2611) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 2.7B TWD

TS Tze Shin International Co 2611 · TW
Price14.25 TWD
Fair Value7.54 TWD
Upside-47.1%
Quality36/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 28.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.71% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: Medium Range 5.65 TWD – 9.16 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −2.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (9.16 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

41.44 TWD 9.46 TWD Fair Value 7.54 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.46 TWD – 41.44 TWD · fair‑value band 5.65 TWD – 9.16 TWD · the 14.25 TWD price screens above the 7.54 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Tze Shin International Co (2611) currently trades at 14.25 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.54 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 47.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tze Shin International Co generated revenue of 858M TWD at a net margin of 28.9%. Revenue grew 110.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at 364M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 5.65 TWD (bear case) to 9.16 TWD (bull case); at 14.25 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -47%, 2611 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 10.54 TWD 10.47 TWD 9.22 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 1.93 TWD 2.00 TWD 2.07 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 14.40 TWD 15.70 TWD 17.65 TWD 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 8.95 TWD 11.59 TWD 16.48 TWD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.55 TWD 4.81 TWD 5.57 TWD 54
EPV 1.93 TWD 2.00 TWD 2.07 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 14.40 TWD 15.70 TWD 17.65 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 14.40 TWD 18.15 TWD 23.03 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8.22 TWD 10.96 TWD 13.70 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 5.33 TWD 7.11 TWD 8.89 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 6.65 TWD 8.87 TWD 11.09 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 2.20 TWD 2.46 TWD 2.72 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 5.69 TWD 7.11 TWD 8.53 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 1.98 TWD 2.22 TWD 2.45 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.18 TWD 9.62 TWD 14.36 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10.54 TWD 10.47 TWD 9.22 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 1.93 TWD 2.00 TWD 2.07 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.80 TWD 8.29 TWD 10.78 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (15.70 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (2.00 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 858M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +110%
Net margin 28.9%
Return on equity 9.6%
Free cash flow −144M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 26.5
More key figures
Operating margin 10.0%
EPS (TTM) 0.5200 TWD
Dividend yield 3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +128%
Net debt 364M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tze Shin International Co., Ltd. operates as a transportation company in Taiwan. The company offers transport services, such as container and truck transportation, terminal, petrochemical, damage goods transportation, and bulk logistics.

Full company description

Tze Shin International Co., Ltd. operates as a transportation company in Taiwan. The company offers transport services, such as container and truck transportation, terminal, petrochemical, damage goods transportation, and bulk logistics. It is also involved in the development and planning for construction of factories, shopping malls, and residential buildings. The company was formerly known as Tze Shin Transportation & Terminal Co.Ltd and changed its name to Tze Shin International Co., Ltd. in July 2002. Tze Shin International Co., Ltd. was founded in 1962 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tze Shin International Co reported revenue of 672M TWD in FY2025 versus 792M TWD in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was 98.6M TWD in FY2025, compounding −23.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 21/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
672M TWD
Latest YoY
−2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.5%
Revenue −4.0%/yr
FY21 792M TWD
FY22 730M TWD
FY23 617M TWD
FY24 687M TWD
FY25 672M TWD
Net income −23.7%/yr
FY21 291M TWD
FY22 −245M TWD
FY23 468M TWD
FY24 310M TWD
FY25 98.6M TWD

2611 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tze Shin International Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2611

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Revenue growth 110% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.99× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.57× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 38 · sector 27
HEALTH 96 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 74 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tze Shin International Co (2611) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.54 TWD versus a price of 14.25 TWD, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2611?
Our model-based fair value for Tze Shin International Co is 7.54 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 14.25 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2611?
Tze Shin International Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tze Shin International Co (2611)?
Tze Shin International Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 858M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2611?
The net profit margin of Tze Shin International Co is about 28.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tze Shin International Co pay a dividend?
Tze Shin International Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.81% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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