HK Electric Investments Ltd (2638) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of HK Electric Investments Ltd HK$3.43, price HK$6.21, upside -44.7%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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HK Electric Investments Ltd
2638 · HKStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$3.72 – HK$6.87 · fair‑value band HK$1.62 – HK$5.00 · the HK$6.21 price screens above the HK$3.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Hong Kong Island and Lamma Island.
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HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Hong Kong Island and Lamma Island. The company operates coal-fired units, gas turbines and standby units, gas-fired combined-cycle units, solar power system, and wind turbine with an installed capacity of 3,083 megawatts. It also operated a transmission and distribution network of 7,143 kilometers, as well as served 599,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers. In addition, the company involved in the financing business. HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited was incorporated in 1889 and is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
HK Electric Investments Ltd (2638) currently trades at HK$6.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.43, 44.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$5.26 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$6.21 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at HK$1.24, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.62 (bear) to HK$5.00 (bull), the price of HK$6.21 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
HK Electric Investments Ltd reported revenue of HK$12.1B in FY2025 versus HK$11.3B in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$3.1B in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$54.8B (≈ $7.0B) · P/E ratio 16.3 · P/S ratio 4.14 · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 25.4% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% · Operating margin 45.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −45%, 2638 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
Notify me when 2638 reaches fair value
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
2638 screens overvalued: fair value 45% below the price. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →
Earlier news
- Is HK Electric Investments And HK Electric Investments (SEHK:2638) Fully Valued As Fuel Cost Pressures Rise?
- HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Ltd's Dividend Analysis
- Is HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited's (HKG:2638) CEO Paid At A Competitive Rate?
- Don't Race Out To Buy HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited (HKG:2638) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend
Compare HK Electric Investments Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 152 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Utilities sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Utilities
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $76.08 | $29.97 | −61% |
| The Southern Company SO | $82.88 | $57.57 | −31% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $113.41 | $74.88 | −34% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $118.35 | $100.03 | −15% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $60.68 | $37.84 | −38% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $98.10 | $37.37 | −62% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $69.39 | $54.92 | −21% |
| Exelon Corporation EXC | $40.32 | $36.01 | −11% |
| Consolidated Edison, Inc ED | $103.33 | $47.76 | −54% |
| PG&E Corporation PCG | $12.34 | $17.85 | +45% |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of HK Electric Investments Ltd
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