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Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd (2677) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$1.9B

DH Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd 2677 · HK
PriceHK$25.46
Fair ValueHK$41.35
Upside+62.4%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.7% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$31.01 – HK$51.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$41.31 to HK$41.35 (+0.1%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −10.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 62% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$31.01). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (6 months)

HK$67.90 HK$21.04 Fair Value HK$41.35 Feb 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

6‑month range HK$21.04 – HK$67.90 · fair‑value band HK$31.01 – HK$51.69 · the HK$25.46 price screens below the HK$41.35 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd (2677) currently trades at HK$25.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$41.35, implying the stock looks roughly 62.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.1B at a net margin of 12.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.1 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$31.01 (bear case) to HK$51.69 (bull case); at HK$25.46, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 62%, 2677 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$32.74 HK$52.80 HK$87.72 72
Growth-Adj P/E HK$41.98 HK$59.97 HK$77.96 68
Rev-Margin DCF HK$17.55 HK$24.68 HK$35.19 67
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$34.32 HK$49.88 HK$92.10 38
Owner Earnings HK$44.99 HK$87.85 HK$167.38 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$17.55 HK$23.02 HK$33.01 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$31.84 HK$53.65 HK$93.63 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$37.02 HK$71.31 HK$115.60 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$22.92 HK$32.60 HK$40.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$32.32 HK$57.73 HK$103.46 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$35.67 HK$66.83 HK$120.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$14.22 HK$99.18 HK$139.18 54
Lynch FV HK$30.44 HK$43.48 HK$56.52 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$30.44 HK$43.48 HK$56.52 46
EPV HK$8.00 HK$8.41 HK$8.74 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$34.51 HK$46.01 HK$57.51 63
P/S Multiple HK$26.67 HK$35.55 HK$44.44 58
EV/EBIT HK$11.02 HK$13.02 HK$15.02 53
EV/EBITDA HK$31.58 HK$40.43 HK$49.28 54
EV/Revenue HK$9.31 HK$11.14 HK$12.97 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$32.74 HK$52.80 HK$87.72 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$17.55 HK$24.68 HK$35.19 67
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$8.00 HK$8.41 HK$8.74 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$41.98 HK$59.97 HK$77.96 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$59.97) versus Economic Profit (HK$8.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.1B
Net margin 12.7%
Free cash flow HK$146M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.1 as of Jul 2, 2026
Operating margin 2.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Distinct Healthcare Holdings Limited operates as a healthcare service provider in China. The company offers medical services in the areas of pediatrics, dentistry, eye care, dermatology, ear, nose and throat, general surgery, women's health, physical therapy and rehabilitation, psychiatry and psychology, and internal healthcare.

Full company description

Distinct Healthcare Holdings Limited operates as a healthcare service provider in China. The company offers medical services in the areas of pediatrics, dentistry, eye care, dermatology, ear, nose and throat, general surgery, women's health, physical therapy and rehabilitation, psychiatry and psychology, and internal healthcare. It provides professional healthcare services that cover a range of specialties through its private healthcare service institutions and tele-healthcare service platform. The company operates through its brand name and its tele-healthcare service platform, Distinct HealthCare. The company's platforms include Hospital Management System ("HMS"), Distinct Management System ("DMS") and Distinct Data Platform. Its platform HMS is a cloud-based electronic medical record system; DMS is a comprehensive patient management system to streamline and standardize the process of patient management and its Distinct Data Platform aggregates all data from different realms such as user background and activity data, anonymized clinical data, operation data and financial data. Distinct HealthCare has a strategic partnership with Tencent Holdings Limited. Distinct Healthcare Holdings Limited was founded in 2012 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2025 versus HK$473M in FY2022, a compound +31.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$135M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.1B
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.0%
Revenue +31.0%/yr
FY22 HK$473M
FY23 HK$690M
FY24 HK$959M
FY25 HK$1.1B
Net income
FY22 −HK$215M
FY23 −HK$351M
FY24 HK$83.8M
FY25 HK$135M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2677

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 266 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +62% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.78× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 17.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 29
HEALTH 0 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd (2677) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$41.35 versus a price of HK$25.46, about +62% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2677?
Our model-based fair value for Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd is HK$41.35 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$25.46.
What is the quality score of 2677?
Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd (2677)?
Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2677?
The net profit margin of Distinct Healthcare Hldg Ltd is about 12.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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