Quantgroup Holding Ltd (2685) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$5.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$4.69 to HK$12.49 (+166.3%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −67.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 169% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$7.27). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$7.27 to HK$15.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (9 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
9‑month range HK$3.95 – HK$38.80 · fair‑value band HK$7.27 – HK$15.88 · the HK$4.64 price screens below the HK$12.49 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Quantgroup Holding Ltd (2685) currently trades at HK$4.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$12.49, implying the stock looks roughly 169.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Quantgroup Holding Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.0B at a net margin of 18.9%. It earns a return on equity of 98.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 23.6 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$7.27 (bear case) to HK$15.88 (bull case); at HK$4.64, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 169%, 2685 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$11.76) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.70). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Quantgroup Holding Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates online marketplaces in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
Quantgroup Holding Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates online marketplaces in the People's Republic of China. The company offers Yangxiaomie, a consumer e-commerce platform that connects third-party marketplace suppliers with users across a range of retail categories, including consumer electronics, food and beverages, home appliances, cosmetics, jewelry, clothing, and personal daily care. It also provides Consumption Guide, a retail online-to-offline platform for automobile retailers that converts online traffic into offline showroom purchases and supports online automobile transactions. In addition, the company provides advertisement placement services. Quantgroup Holding Limited was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Quantgroup Holding Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.0B in FY2025 versus HK$475M in FY2022, a compound +29.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$195M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Internet Retail · 108 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon.com, Inc AMZN | $267.28 | $127.67 | -52% |
| Alibaba Group BABA | $125.22 | $76.00 | -39% |
| PDD Holdings PDD | $89.04 | $224.27 | +152% |
| MercadoLibre, Inc MELI | $1,828 | $798.98 | -56% |
| DoorDash, Inc DASH | $212.00 | $38.64 | -82% |
| Sea Limited SE | $128.11 | $52.70 | -59% |
| eBay Inc EBAY | $102.31 | $60.13 | -41% |
| JD.com, Inc JD | €27.00 | €31.73 | +18% |
| Coupang, Inc CPNG | $16.32 | $2.79 | -83% |
| Delivery Hero SE DHER | €37.04 | €12.71 | -66% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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