Meituan (3690) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$494B

Analysis

Meituan (3690) currently trades at HK$72.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$108.03 — implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Meituan operates as a technology driven retail company in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, and internationally. It operates through Core Local Commerce and New Initiatives segments. The company offers daily goods and services, such as food delivery, in-store, hotel and travel booking, and other services and sales; bike sharing, e-moped sharing, power banks and micro-credit; and operates Kuailv and Xiaoxiang Supermarkets. It also sells goods from B2B food distribution services; provides online marketing services to merchants; e-commerce; multimedia information techno…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.