China Bills Finance Corporation (2820) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TW · Market cap 22.2B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −5.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 39% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (17.05 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.29 TWD – 17.85 TWD · fair‑value band 17.05 TWD – 28.42 TWD · the 16.35 TWD price screens below the 22.74 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
China Bills Finance Corporation (2820) currently trades at 16.35 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.74 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 39.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Bills Finance Corporation generated revenue of 3.2B TWD at a net margin of 63.0%. Revenue grew 57.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at 234B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 17.05 TWD (bear case) to 28.42 TWD (bull case); at 16.35 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 39%, 2820 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (17.61 TWD) versus Asset-Based (13.88 TWD). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Bills Finance Corporation provides various financial services in Taiwan. The company engages in the certification and underwriting of short-term bills and bank debentures; brokerage and trading of short-term bills, bank debentures, government and corporate bonds, and foreign bonds; guaranteeing short-term bills; and provision of financial consulting …
Full company description
China Bills Finance Corporation provides various financial services in Taiwan. The company engages in the certification and underwriting of short-term bills and bank debentures; brokerage and trading of short-term bills, bank debentures, government and corporate bonds, and foreign bonds; guaranteeing short-term bills; and provision of financial consulting services to enterprises. It is also involved in the processing interbank call loans; equity investments; fixed income securities trading; and foreign-currency bills investment businesses. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Bills Finance Corporation reported revenue of 7.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.8B TWD in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 2820: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 425 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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