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BGF Retail Co (282330) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · KR · Market cap 2.1T KRW

BR BGF Retail Co 282330 · KO
Price153,100 KRW
Fair Value237,367 KRW
Upside+55.0%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.31% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range 178,026 KRW – 296,709 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +22.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 55% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (178,026 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

191,588 KRW 92,647 KRW Fair Value 237,367 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 92,647 KRW – 191,588 KRW · fair‑value band 178,026 KRW – 296,709 KRW · the 153,100 KRW price screens below the 237,367 KRW fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

BGF Retail Co (282330) currently trades at 153,100 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 237,367 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 55.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, BGF Retail Co generated revenue of 9.2T KRW at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.6%. Net debt stands at 154M KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 178,026 KRW (bear case) to 296,709 KRW (bull case); at 153,100 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 55%, 282330 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 425,121 KRW 768,080 KRW 1,400,176 KRW 80
Residual Income 78,323 KRW 103,120 KRW 300,967 KRW 76
Rev-Margin DCF 238,812 KRW 366,635 KRW 536,126 KRW 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 429,160 KRW 803,949 KRW 1,506,491 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 396,178 KRW 740,464 KRW 1,385,828 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 238,812 KRW 366,396 KRW 534,432 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 435,790 KRW 781,401 KRW 1,222,441 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 262,178 KRW 415,625 KRW 589,987 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 291,681 KRW 437,427 KRW 653,433 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 431,361 KRW 752,456 KRW 1,255,377 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 312,555 KRW 474,796 KRW 702,039 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 76,862 KRW 383,284 KRW 528,848 KRW 54
Lynch FV 103,571 KRW 147,959 KRW 192,347 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 103,571 KRW 147,959 KRW 192,347 KRW 46
EPV 134,723 KRW 154,279 KRW 171,663 KRW 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 178,026 KRW 237,367 KRW 296,709 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 144,116 KRW 192,155 KRW 240,193 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 144,116 KRW 192,155 KRW 240,193 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 209,873 KRW 271,863 KRW 333,852 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 468,032 KRW 616,074 KRW 764,117 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 156,635 KRW 213,519 KRW 270,404 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 38,005 KRW 50,926 KRW 76,009 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 425,121 KRW 768,080 KRW 1,400,176 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 238,812 KRW 366,635 KRW 536,126 KRW 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 78,323 KRW 103,120 KRW 300,967 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 152,791 KRW 202,671 KRW 269,782 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 158,434 KRW 226,335 KRW 294,235 KRW 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (474,796 KRW) versus Asset-Based (50,926 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.2T KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.2%
Net margin 2.3%
Return on equity 17.6%
Free cash flow 499B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 1.8%
More key figures
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +119%
Net debt 154M KRW FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BGF Retail Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores under the CU brand in South Korea. The company's stores retail various products, such as quick meals, instant cooking, processed meals, food ingredients, beverages, dairy products, alcohol, confectionery, ice cream, breads, desserts, snacks, tobacco, household and personal …

Full company description

BGF Retail Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores under the CU brand in South Korea. The company's stores retail various products, such as quick meals, instant cooking, processed meals, food ingredients, beverages, dairy products, alcohol, confectionery, ice cream, breads, desserts, snacks, tobacco, household and personal goods, hobbies and leisure products, securities and service products, and other products. It is also involved in the sale of products to franchisees through the convenience store chain business; logistics services; advertising, E-commerce, and convenience store delivery; food manufacturing; and oil business. BGF Retail Co., Ltd. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BGF Retail Co reported revenue of 9.1T KRW in FY2025 versus 6.8T KRW in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was 195B KRW in FY2025, compounding +7.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
9.1T KRW
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+32.8%
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY21 6.8T KRW
FY22 7.6T KRW
FY23 8.2T KRW
FY24 8.7T KRW
FY25 9.1T KRW
Net income +7.2%/yr
FY21 148B KRW
FY22 194B KRW
FY23 196B KRW
FY24 195B KRW
FY25 195B KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BGF Retail Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/282330

Peer Group

Grocery Stores · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +55% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.18× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 36
FUTURE 26 · sector 17
PAST 70 · sector 51
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 66 · sector 48

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Loblaw Companies Limited L C$65.49 C$44.44 -32%
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD €36.30 €53.50 +47%
The Kroger Co KR $58.82 $28.19 -52%
Woolworths Group WOW A$39.20 A$13.40 -66%
George Weston Limited WN C$100.98 C$63.61 -37%
Coles Group COL A$23.56 A$15.86 -33%
Metro Inc MRU C$93.64 C$94.01 +0%
Carrefour SA CA €16.40 €11.51 -30%
CP ALL Public Company TCPD 1.89 SGD 2.36 SGD +25%
BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS 385.75 TRY 267.12 TRY -31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BGF Retail Co (282330) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 237,367 KRW versus a price of 153,100 KRW, about +55% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 282330?
Our model-based fair value for BGF Retail Co is 237,367 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 153,100 KRW.
What is the quality score of 282330?
BGF Retail Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BGF Retail Co (282330)?
BGF Retail Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.2T KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 282330?
The net profit margin of BGF Retail Co is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BGF Retail Co pay a dividend?
BGF Retail Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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