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Hua Nan Financial Holdings (2880) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TW · Market cap 559B TWD

HN Hua Nan Financial Holdings 2880 · TW
Price44.40 TWD
Fair Value24.68 TWD
Upside-44.4%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 40.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.43% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range 18.51 TWD – 30.85 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +11.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (30.85 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

44.40 TWD 15.23 TWD Fair Value 24.68 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15.23 TWD – 44.40 TWD · fair‑value band 18.51 TWD – 30.85 TWD · the 44.40 TWD price screens above the 24.68 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hua Nan Financial Holdings (2880) currently trades at 44.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 24.68 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 44.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hua Nan Financial Holdings generated revenue of 72.2B TWD at a net margin of 40.3%. Revenue grew 25.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. Net debt stands at 272B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 18.51 TWD (bear case) to 30.85 TWD (bull case); at 44.40 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -44%, 2880 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 34.63 TWD 51.43 TWD 79.93 TWD 80
Residual Income 15.71 TWD 18.12 TWD 31.12 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 30.04 TWD 42.80 TWD 58.10 TWD 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 34.31 TWD 51.15 TWD 79.30 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 33.62 TWD 49.99 TWD 77.36 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 30.04 TWD 42.84 TWD 59.40 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 32.41 TWD 47.40 TWD 65.24 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 34.91 TWD 52.24 TWD 70.96 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 30.65 TWD 43.08 TWD 60.38 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 32.85 TWD 46.38 TWD 65.08 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 34.50 TWD 49.88 TWD 69.69 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 12.91 TWD 46.71 TWD 62.99 TWD 54
Lynch FV 11.07 TWD 15.82 TWD 20.56 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 11.07 TWD 15.82 TWD 20.56 TWD 46
EPV 28.48 TWD 31.84 TWD 34.81 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 11.87 TWD 25.91 TWD 43.59 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 11.87 TWD 21.22 TWD 27.00 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 28.48 TWD 37.97 TWD 47.47 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 20.49 TWD 27.32 TWD 34.15 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 24.21 TWD 32.28 TWD 40.35 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 41.15 TWD 51.70 TWD 62.24 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 33.87 TWD 41.99 TWD 50.11 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 28.62 TWD 36.82 TWD 45.01 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.49 TWD 11.38 TWD 16.98 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 34.63 TWD 51.43 TWD 79.93 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 30.04 TWD 42.80 TWD 58.10 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 15.71 TWD 18.12 TWD 31.12 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 30.37 TWD 36.73 TWD 44.57 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 20.38 TWD 29.11 TWD 37.84 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (47.40 TWD) versus Asset-Based (11.38 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 72.2B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.3%
Net margin 40.3%
Return on equity 12.3%
Free cash flow 27.6B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 18.3
More key figures
Operating margin 51.3%
EPS (TTM) 1.90 TWD
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +52.2%
Net debt 272B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial services in Taiwan and internationally. It operates through Bank, Securities, Insurance, and Other segments. The company provides various banking services, including commercial banking, offshore banking, overseas branch banking, and other banking services.

Full company description

Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial services in Taiwan and internationally. It operates through Bank, Securities, Insurance, and Other segments. The company provides various banking services, including commercial banking, offshore banking, overseas branch banking, and other banking services. It also engages in the trust business planning, managing, and operating; custody of nondiscretionary trust funds and mutual funds; trading and underwriting of securities; margin loan and securities financing for securities; securities-related auxiliary futures trading; buying and selling of foreign securities; and other securities-related businesses. In addition, it acts as a transfer agent for securities; offers property insurance services, including automobile insurance, fire insurance, casualty insurance, liability insurance, and reinsurance of the insurance businesses; and issues beneficiary certificates to raise investment trust funds and making securities investments using these funds. Further, the company is involved in the venture capital investments and investment and management consulting businesses; purchase, leasing, evaluation, and auction of properties; management service of monetary creditor's rights of financial institutions; financing and leasing; futures broker and consulting business; and security investment consulting business. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hua Nan Financial Holdings reported revenue of 152B TWD in FY2025 versus 59.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound +26.5%/yr. Reported net income was 26.4B TWD in FY2025, compounding +11.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
152B TWD
Latest YoY
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+26.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+24.1%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+3.1%
Revenue +26.5%/yr
FY21 59.3B TWD
FY22 75.3B TWD
FY23 120B TWD
FY24 140B TWD
FY25 152B TWD
Net income +11.3%/yr
FY21 17.2B TWD
FY22 17.3B TWD
FY23 21.6B TWD
FY24 23.1B TWD
FY25 26.4B TWD

2880 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hua Nan Financial Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2880

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −44% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.98× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 49 · sector 41
HEALTH 84 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 69 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hua Nan Financial Holdings (2880) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 24.68 TWD versus a price of 44.40 TWD, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2880?
Our model-based fair value for Hua Nan Financial Holdings is 24.68 TWD (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 44.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2880?
Hua Nan Financial Holdings has a Quality Score of 67/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hua Nan Financial Holdings (2880)?
Hua Nan Financial Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 72.2B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2880?
The net profit margin of Hua Nan Financial Holdings is about 40.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 40.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hua Nan Financial Holdings pay a dividend?
Hua Nan Financial Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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