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CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd stock TWD 42.85, price TWD 78.70, that is 45.6% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services TW · ISIN TW0002891009

CF CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd logo Broad data Nov 12, 2026

CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd

2891 · TW

Far too expensive (fair value 46% below the price) and weak company, but rising price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Rising price (uptrend) 
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +20.7 %/yr in TWD) 
Solidly profitable · 19.7% net margin (TTM) 
3.2% dividend yield · Sustainable
Broad data 
Quality 48/100 
Mixed vs. peers (7/15) 
Wide moat 69/100 · thin data
Revenue last quarter 20% below a year ago. 
Fair value 42.85 TWD · Strongly overvalued 

Main risks:

🚩High double-leverage ratio at holding level🚩Digital banks eroding retail margins
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

78.70 TWD 16.45 TWD Fair Value 42.85 TWD Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 16.45 TWD – 78.70 TWD · fair‑value band 27.41 TWD – 53.56 TWD · the 78.70 TWD price screens above the 42.85 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

CTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in corporate and personal finance, life insurance, and other businesses in Taiwan, Asia, and North America.

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The company offers commercial banking and capital market services; customized financing and wealth management and credit services; life insurance services; and designs, provides, and trades in various financial products.

It is also involved in deposit and loan; securities and futures; venture capital; asset management; issuance and sale of various types of lottery tickets; prize redemption operations and management, and promotion activities; personal insurance; investment trust; operation of an installment payment sales business; services, leasing business and accounts receivable; cash purchase and sale; guarantee; debt and fund management; securities investment advisory; and wholesale business.

In addition, the company provides educational supplies, musical instruments, and recreational products; investment management consulting; financial leasing; product insurance; real estate leasing; elderly housing; home-based businesses and information software services; and hotel business.

The company was formerly known as ChinaTrust Financial Holding Co., Ltd. and changed its name to CTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd. in June 2013. CTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891) currently trades at 78.70 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 42.85 TWD, 46% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 42.88 TWD per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 78.70 TWD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 16.27 TWD, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 27.41 TWD (bear) to 53.56 TWD (bull), the price of 78.70 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 501B TWD in FY2025 versus 185B TWD in FY2021, a compound +28.2%/yr. Reported net income was 80.6B TWD in FY2025, compounding +10.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.7T TWD (≈ $50.4B) Large · P/E ratio 19.9 · P/S ratio 3.20 · EPS (TTM) 3.96 TWD · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 16.1% · Return on equity 18.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 69 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −46%, 2891 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 27.41 TWD Fair Value 42.85 TWD Bull 53.56 TWD
Price 78.70 TWD · Downside -45.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.27 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 27.41 TWD 34.59 TWD 50.29 TWD 75
Gordon GGM 22.13 TWD 46.71 TWD 75.40 TWD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 22.13 TWD 39.04 TWD 48.92 TWD 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 22.13 TWD 46.71 TWD 75.40 TWD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 22.13 TWD 39.04 TWD 48.92 TWD 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 39.95 TWD 53.27 TWD 66.58 TWD 63
P/B Multiple 24.32 TWD 32.43 TWD 40.54 TWD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.14 TWD 16.27 TWD 24.29 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 27.41 TWD 34.59 TWD 50.29 TWD 75

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 32
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 89
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 14
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 69
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 81
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 90
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 100
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 31
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13.3% vs 7.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.100% → 18%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

2891 screens overvalued: fair value 46% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 999 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −45.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 18.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 19.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 55.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −20.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.27× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 19.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.20× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.97× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 13.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.10× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)74 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)64 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.69 ¥7.59 +33% vs 2891
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.93 ¥52.73 +23% vs 2891
BNP Paribas SA BNP €95.57 €107.43 +12% vs 2891
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.26 €4.91 −22% vs 2891
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €83.68 €58.08 −31% vs 2891
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 28.53 SGD 18.20 SGD −36% vs 2891
DBS Group D05 69.90 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs 2891
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.34 $5.84 −44% vs 2891
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹804.00 ₹406.39 −49% vs 2891
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,584 ₹615.63 −61% vs 2891

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CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2891

Frequently asked questions

Is CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 42.85 TWD versus a price of 78.70 TWD, about 46% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2891?
Our model-based fair value for CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 42.85 TWD (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 78.70 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2891?
CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 42.85 TWD (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 27.41 TWD, optimistic scenario 53.56 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 42.85 TWD, about 46% lower versus a price of 78.70 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 27.41 TWD, optimistic scenario 53.56 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 558B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 3.18% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891) and when is the ex-dividend date?
CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd pays a dividend of 2.50 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 13, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2008. The payout ratio is 63.1% of earnings. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What is the intrinsic value of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd it is 42.85 TWD per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of 78.70 TWD. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, 2891 trades above its calculated fair value: price 78.70 TWD, fair value 42.85 TWD, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2891?
No. The price is what the market pays today (78.70 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (42.85 TWD). For CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd the two are 35.85 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd at about 1.7T TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is 78.70 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 42.85 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2891?
Our models span a range for CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario 27.41 TWD, base 42.85 TWD, optimistic 53.56 TWD per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price 78.70 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2891?
CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.9 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 42.85 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 10.7. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 3.2, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 6.3.
What is the PEG ratio of 2891?
The PEG ratio of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 1.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 12, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
Balance-sheet figures for CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 18.6%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2891 from its 52-week high?
CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd trades at 78.70 TWD, at its 52-week high of 78.70 TWD and 93% above the low of 40.69 TWD (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 42.85 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price 78.70 TWD, calculated fair value 42.85 TWD (−46%), Quality Score 48/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2891 calculated?
We run CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 42.85 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was 78.70 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 42.85 TWD, about 46% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (53.56 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (48/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (27.41 TWD to 53.56 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891) come from?
Earnings per share at CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd grew +7.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.5 %, EBIT margin −17.5 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +22.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
The market capitalisation of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 1.7T TWD (≈ $50.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 3.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
Earnings per share at CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd are 3.96 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
The dividend yield of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 3.2% (payout 63.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
The net margin of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 16.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 18.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
The operating margin of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 55.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
Revenue at CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is growing −20.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +49.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891)?
Earnings per share at CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd are growing +2.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891) generate?
The free cash flow of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 122B TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891) carry?
The net debt of CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is 298B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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