Beijing Dinghan Technology Group (300011) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥2.61 to ¥1.93 (−26.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.55 – ¥11.58 · fair‑value band ¥1.77 – ¥2.08 · the ¥5.92 price screens above the ¥1.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing Dinghan Technology Group (300011) currently trades at ¥5.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.93, implying the stock looks roughly 67.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Dinghan Technology Group generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue declined 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.1%. Net debt stands at 323M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.77 (bear case) to ¥2.08 (bull case); at ¥5.92, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -67%, 300011 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.94) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.9300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Beijing Dinghan Technology Group Co.Ltd engages in the research and development, supply, sale, and maintenance of high-end electrification equipment and smart solutions for rail transit industry in China.
Full company description
Beijing Dinghan Technology Group Co.Ltd engages in the research and development, supply, sale, and maintenance of high-end electrification equipment and smart solutions for rail transit industry in China. The company's ground electrical equipment includes ground power supply solution, platform door system solution, and braking energy management solution; intelligent station solutions; and rolling stock electrical equipment comprising rolling stock special cable solution, rolling stock air conditioner system solution, CRH3 auxiliary power supply system for EMU, and DC600V power supply system solution for passenger trains. It also provides HD video detection system for freight train loading state and rolling stock detection system solution; and after-sales and operation maintenance services. The company was formerly known as Beijing Dinghan Technology Co., Ltd. Beijing Dinghan Technology Group Co.Ltd was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing Dinghan Technology Group reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥15.2M in FY2025.
300011 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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