Dayu Irrigation Group (300021) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 3.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Share price −8.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.97 – ¥6.96 · fair‑value band ¥0.7395 – ¥1.23 · the ¥3.90 price screens above the ¥1.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Dayu Irrigation Group (300021) currently trades at ¥3.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.06, implying the stock looks roughly 72.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dayu Irrigation Group generated revenue of 3.8B CNY at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. Net debt stands at 830M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.7395 (bear case) to ¥1.23 (bull case); at ¥3.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -73%, 300021 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥2.14) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.8900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dayu Irrigation Group Co.,Ltd engages in the manufacture and sale of water-saving irrigation materials. It offers drip tapes and on-line dripper; PVC and PE pipes; fertilizer and fertigation equipment; reel type and large sprinklers; water tank, smart water meter, intelligent controller; integrated monitoring and control of the gate slot; water measurement …
Full company description
Dayu Irrigation Group Co.,Ltd engages in the manufacture and sale of water-saving irrigation materials. It offers drip tapes and on-line dripper; PVC and PE pipes; fertilizer and fertigation equipment; reel type and large sprinklers; water tank, smart water meter, intelligent controller; integrated monitoring and control of the gate slot; water measurement equipment; home garden equipment; and Solar Irrigation System. The company is also involved in agricultural water saving; urban and rural water supply; sewage treatment; intelligent water affairs; water system connection; water ecological treatment and restoration; and integrating project planning, design, investment, construction, operation, management, and maintenance services. It serves in China, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, India, Pakistan, Mongolia, Uzbekistan, Russia, South Africa, Zimbabwe, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Sudan, Egypt, Tunisia, Algeria, Nigeria, Benin, Togo, Senegal, Mali, Mexico, Ecuador, the United States, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Dayu Water-saving Group Co., Ltd and changed its name to Dayu Irrigation Group Co.,Ltd in November 2022. Dayu Irrigation Group Co.,Ltd was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Tianjin, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dayu Irrigation Group reported revenue of ¥3.8B in FY2025 versus ¥3.5B in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥48.9M in FY2025, compounding −22.5%/yr from FY2021.
300021 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with American Water Works Company →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Water · 67 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Water Works Company AWK | $134.33 | $65.80 | -51% |
| SBSP3 SBSP3 | R$29.22 | R$31.23 | +7% |
| SBS SBS | $5.79 | $5.21 | -10% |
| Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG | $38.59 | $21.81 | -43% |
| CSMG3 CSMG3 | R$66.10 | R$60.17 | -9% |
| Grandblue Environment Co 600323 | ¥29.42 | ¥33.29 | +13% |
| American States Water Company AWR | $85.01 | $48.02 | -44% |
| Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 | ¥6.97 | ¥10.74 | +54% |
| California Water Service Group CWT | $49.73 | $33.56 | -33% |
| Chongqing Water Group 601158 | ¥4.12 | ¥2.77 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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