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Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co (300066) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.1B CNY

SW Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co 300066 · SHE
Price¥5.46
Fair Value¥2.04
Upside-62.6%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.84% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.69 – ¥2.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Share price −2.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.73 ¥2.74 Fair Value ¥2.04 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.74 – ¥8.73 · fair‑value band ¥1.69 – ¥2.83 · the ¥5.46 price screens above the ¥2.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co (300066) currently trades at ¥5.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.04, implying the stock looks roughly 62.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 11.6%. Revenue grew 31.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 405M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.69 (bear case) to ¥2.83 (bull case); at ¥5.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -63%, 300066 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥1.92 ¥1.94 ¥1.87 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.06 ¥1.12 ¥1.17 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.3100 ¥0.6200 ¥0.9300 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥2.22 ¥2.99 ¥4.12 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9300 ¥2.82 ¥3.74 54
Lynch FV ¥0.6000 ¥0.8600 ¥1.12 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.6000 ¥0.8600 ¥1.12 46
EPV ¥1.06 ¥1.12 ¥1.17 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3100 ¥0.6200 ¥0.9300 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3100 ¥0.5000 ¥0.6500 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.05 ¥2.73 ¥3.42 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.74 ¥2.32 ¥2.90 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.74 ¥2.32 ¥2.90 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.71 ¥2.04 ¥2.37 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.76 ¥2.11 ¥2.46 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.38 ¥1.67 ¥1.96 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.26 ¥1.68 ¥2.51 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.92 ¥1.94 ¥1.87 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.06 ¥1.12 ¥1.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.69 ¥2.41 ¥3.14 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.99) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.5000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.6%
Net margin 11.6%
Return on equity 5.7%
Free cash flow −13.6M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 48.4
More key figures
Operating margin 3.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1400
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -8.3%
Net cash 405M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells water meters under the San Chuan brand. The company offers Internet of things, wireless remote, dry direct reading remote, non-contact IC card, mechanical, electromagnetic, ultrasonic, no negative pressure, and smart water meters.

Full company description

Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells water meters under the San Chuan brand. The company offers Internet of things, wireless remote, dry direct reading remote, non-contact IC card, mechanical, electromagnetic, ultrasonic, no negative pressure, and smart water meters. The company was formerly known as Jiangxi Sanchuan Water Meter Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co., Ltd. in January 2016. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Yingtan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥937M in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥142M in FY2025, compounding −6.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+10.9%
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 ¥937M
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥2.3B
FY24 ¥1.5B
FY25 ¥1.2B
Net income −6.9%/yr
FY21 ¥189M
FY22 ¥214M
FY23 ¥240M
FY24 ¥63.8M
FY25 ¥142M

300066 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300066

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −63% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 48.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.70× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.79× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 65.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 23 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 17 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co (300066) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.04 versus a price of ¥5.46, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300066?
Our model-based fair value for Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co is ¥2.04 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.46.
What is the quality score of 300066?
Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co (300066)?
Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300066?
The net profit margin of Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co is about 11.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co pay a dividend?
Sanchuan Wisdom Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.84% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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