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Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co (300121) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 5.2B CNY

SY Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co 300121 · SHE
Price¥9.64
Fair Value¥7.53
Upside-21.9%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.31% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.65 – ¥9.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥7.89 to ¥7.53 (−4.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −25.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥19.05 ¥6.53 Fair Value ¥7.53 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.53 – ¥19.05 · fair‑value band ¥5.65 – ¥9.42 · the ¥9.64 price screens above the ¥7.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co (300121) currently trades at ¥9.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.53, implying the stock looks roughly 21.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co generated revenue of 3.4B CNY at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.8M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.65 (bear case) to ¥9.42 (bull case); at ¥9.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -22%, 300121 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.36 ¥3.75 ¥6.05 80
Residual Income ¥6.20 ¥6.29 ¥6.07 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.85 ¥8.94 ¥14.38 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.39 ¥3.97 ¥6.72 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.89 ¥4.90 ¥8.39 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.85 ¥9.15 ¥15.25 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.31 ¥12.25 ¥20.00 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.69 ¥8.80 ¥13.68 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.80 ¥7.57 ¥13.83 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.95 ¥9.83 ¥17.84 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.88 ¥7.32 ¥12.52 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.01 ¥15.45 ¥21.35 54
Lynch FV ¥4.21 ¥6.01 ¥7.82 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.21 ¥6.01 ¥7.82 46
EPV ¥4.72 ¥5.38 ¥5.95 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.22 ¥2.42 ¥3.67 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.22 ¥2.09 ¥2.56 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.65 ¥7.53 ¥9.42 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.65 ¥7.53 ¥9.42 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.65 ¥7.53 ¥9.42 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.91 ¥9.03 ¥11.16 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.78 ¥11.52 ¥14.27 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.06 ¥8.43 ¥10.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.05 ¥5.43 ¥8.10 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.36 ¥3.75 ¥6.05 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.85 ¥8.94 ¥14.38 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.20 ¥6.29 ¥6.07 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.72 ¥5.38 ¥5.95 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.71 ¥8.16 ¥10.61 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥8.16) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.4%
Net margin 5.7%
Return on equity 5.4%
Free cash flow 64.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 26.8
More key figures
Operating margin 10.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4400
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -7.1%
Net cash 1.8M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 22
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co., Ltd. provides rubber chemical products in China and internationally. The company offers standard rubber chemicals, such as retarders, accelerators, and anti-reversion agents; pre-dispersed rubber chemicals; insoluble sulfurs; processing promoters; silane coupling agents; rubber protective waxes; resins; and other …

Full company description

Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co., Ltd. provides rubber chemical products in China and internationally. The company offers standard rubber chemicals, such as retarders, accelerators, and anti-reversion agents; pre-dispersed rubber chemicals; insoluble sulfurs; processing promoters; silane coupling agents; rubber protective waxes; resins; and other products. It also provides adhesion and reinforcing additives, including adhesive resin, reinforcing resin, and adhesive HMMM and RA series solid products; and Processing Promoters, such as dispersing and lubricating agents and eco chemical peptizers. Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Liaocheng, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥3.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.7B in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥197M in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+16.3%
Revenue +6.1%/yr
FY21 ¥2.7B
FY22 ¥3.5B
FY23 ¥3.5B
FY24 ¥3.4B
FY25 ¥3.4B
Net income −8.7%/yr
FY21 ¥284M
FY22 ¥515M
FY23 ¥304M
FY24 ¥192M
FY25 ¥197M

300121 screens 22% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300121

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.45× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.52× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 4 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 21 · sector 19
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 26 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co (300121) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.53 versus a price of ¥9.64, about −22% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300121?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co is ¥7.53 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.64.
What is the quality score of 300121?
Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co (300121)?
Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300121?
The net profit margin of Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co is about 5.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co pay a dividend?
Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.31% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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