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Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech ¥0.48, price ¥4.62, upside -89.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech
300155 · SHEStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ¥0.4800 · Strongly overvalued (−90%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −30.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -37.6% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/10)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.61 – ¥8.28 · fair‑value band ¥0.4600 – ¥0.5300 · the ¥4.62 price screens above the ¥0.4800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and service of community security and protection products in China.
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Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and service of community security and protection products in China. The company offers IP and analogue building intercom systems, such as guard station and power supply, video and audio phones, and visitor panels; smart home systems; and car park management systems, as well as cables. It also provides smart community, floating population management, and home and shop security solutions. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155) currently trades at ¥4.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4800, implying the stock looks roughly 862.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥1.44 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the ¥4.62 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥0.4700, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.4600 (bear) to ¥0.5300 (bull), the price of ¥4.62 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech reported revenue of 150M CNY in FY2025 versus 759M CNY in FY2021, a compound −33.3%/yr. Reported net income was −54.1M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6B CNY (≈ $387M) · P/S ratio 16.7 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1000 · Net margin −36.0% · Return on equity −4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.0% · Operating margin −52.0% · Revenue (TTM) 145M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −90%, 300155 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥0.4600
Fair Value ¥0.4800
Bull ¥0.5300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
¥0.4500
¥0.4700
¥0.5200
80
Growth DCF
¥0.4500
¥0.4800
¥0.5100
77
5Y Revenue Exit
¥0.4500
¥0.4900
¥0.5400
71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
¥0.4500
¥0.4700
¥0.5200
80
5Y Revenue Exit
¥0.4500
¥0.4900
¥0.5400
71
10Y Revenue Exit
¥0.4500
¥0.4700
¥0.5000
66
Multiples
EV/Revenue
¥0.4600
¥0.5000
¥0.5400
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
¥1.07
¥1.44
¥2.14
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
¥0.4500
¥0.4800
¥0.5100
77
Rev-Margin DCF
¥0.4500
¥0.4900
¥0.5400
71
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
52/100
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Profitability
3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
98
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−27.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.2% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
’14
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’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.5% (2020) → −42.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+72.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +69.5% a year for the price.
300155 screens 862% overvalued. Compare with Verisure plc →
Compare Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 116 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Chinese Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verisure plc VSURE | €8.31 | €9.89 | +19% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $153.95 | $127.80 | −17% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥15.89 | ¥31.47 | +98% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $178.91 | $120.92 | −32% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $6.54 | $19.32 | +195% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $107.12 | $121.18 | +13% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $83.39 | $72.97 | −12% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.74 | $12.89 | −57% |
| Loomis AB LOOMIS | kr 568.00 | kr 496.43 | −13% |
| CoreCivic, Inc CXW | $31.47 | $18.76 | −40% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.4800 versus a price of ¥4.62, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300155?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech is ¥0.4800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.62.
What is the quality score of 300155?
Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.4800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4600, optimistic scenario ¥0.5300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.4800, about −90% upside versus a price of ¥4.62 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4600, optimistic scenario ¥0.5300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 145M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech would have to grow free cash flow by +72.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -30.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300155 use?
Our models discount Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech that is +72.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech grew -30.7 % a year. The price currently implies +72.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (+72.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.23 %: that much free cash flow Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech it is ¥0.4800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥4.62. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300155 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.62, fair value ¥0.4800, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300155?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.4800). For Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech the two are ¥4.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech worth?
The market values Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech at about 2.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.62; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.4800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300155?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech: cautious scenario ¥0.4600, base ¥0.4800, optimistic ¥0.5300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥4.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300155 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech trades at ¥4.62, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥7.50 and 28% above the low of ¥3.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.4800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Verisure plc, Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥4.62, calculated fair value ¥0.4800 (−90%), Quality Score 52/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300155 calculated?
We run Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.4800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥4.62. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.4800, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.5300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech is 2.6B CNY (≈ $387M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech is 16.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech are ¥−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
The net margin of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech is −36.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech is −4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech is −3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech is −52.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
Revenue at Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech is growing −15.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −29.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech are growing +9.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech (300155) hold?
Guangdong Anjubao Digital Tech holds more cash than debt, 275M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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