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Shandong Rike Chemical Co (300214) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.9B CNY

SR Shandong Rike Chemical Co 300214 · SHE
Price¥12.20
Fair Value¥2.83
Upside-76.8%
Quality42/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -0.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.83 – ¥3.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥1.52 to ¥2.83 (+86.2%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price +19.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥2.83 to ¥3.11), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.23 ¥4.29 Fair Value ¥2.83 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.29 – ¥14.23 · fair‑value band ¥2.83 – ¥3.11 · the ¥12.20 price screens above the ¥2.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Rike Chemical Co (300214) currently trades at ¥12.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.83, implying the stock looks roughly 76.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Rike Chemical Co generated revenue of 3.7B CNY at a net margin of -0.5%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.8%. Net debt stands at 617M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.83 (bear case) to ¥3.11 (bull case); at ¥12.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at -77%, 300214 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥1.21 ¥1.36 ¥1.49 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.8200 ¥1.64 ¥2.48 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8200 ¥1.42 ¥1.73 61
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥2.32 ¥3.83 ¥6.32 31
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.21 ¥1.36 ¥1.49 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8200 ¥1.64 ¥2.48 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8200 ¥1.42 ¥1.73 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥1.48 ¥1.89 ¥2.29 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.51 ¥7.26 ¥9.00 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.32 ¥1.77 ¥2.22 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.57 ¥3.45 ¥5.14 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.21 ¥1.36 ¥1.49 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.83) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.36). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.0%
Net margin -0.5%
Return on equity -0.8%
Free cash flow −30.8M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 1.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) -3.7%
Net debt 617M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 98
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shandong Rike Chemical Co.,LTD. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of plastic and rubber modifiers products for plastic processing and the rubber industry in China.

Full company description

Shandong Rike Chemical Co.,LTD. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of plastic and rubber modifiers products for plastic processing and the rubber industry in China. The company offers chlorinated polyethylene (CPE), ACM impact modifier, acrylic impact modifier (AIM), PVC processing aid, PVC foaming regulator, AMB impact modifier and PMMA/ASA capstocks, CPVC compounds and resins, compound materials, internal and external lubricants, and ASA rubber powders. The company exports its products to the United States, Europe, Korea, Israel, Turkey, India, Ukraine, and Southeast Asia countries and region. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Weifang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Rike Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥3.7B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥29.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.2%
Revenue +7.8%/yr
FY21 ¥2.8B
FY22 ¥2.8B
FY23 ¥2.5B
FY24 ¥3.5B
FY25 ¥3.7B
Net income
FY21 ¥190M
FY22 ¥196M
FY23 ¥84.6M
FY24 −¥68.2M
FY25 −¥29.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +6.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.5 pp

of which total revenue +9.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.8 pp

EBIT margin −0.3 pp
Tax rate +0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

300214 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Rike Chemical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300214

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 666 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $479.43 $222.03 -54%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥75.06 ¥68.03 -9%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 416.10 kr 170.02 -59%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,756 ₹664.51 -76%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,730 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,702 ₹351.84 -79%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 2,160 IDR 2,322 IDR +8%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹559.80 ₹154.46 -72%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,566 ₹836.47 -82%
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL ₹778.15 ₹248.63 -68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Rike Chemical Co (300214) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.83 versus a price of ¥12.20, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300214?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Rike Chemical Co is ¥2.83 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.20.
What is the quality score of 300214?
Shandong Rike Chemical Co has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong Rike Chemical Co (300214)?
Shandong Rike Chemical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300214?
The net profit margin of Shandong Rike Chemical Co is about -0.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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