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Ningbo Cixing (300307) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Ningbo Cixing ¥2.31, price ¥7.35, upside -68.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100001CT9

NC Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Ningbo Cixing

300307 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥2.31 · Strongly overvalued (−69%)
!Quality 52/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.27% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Weak on future: 18 out of 100
!Weak on past: 14 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥10.64 ¥3.92 Fair Value ¥2.31 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.92 – ¥10.64 · fair‑value band ¥1.59 – ¥2.31 · the ¥7.35 price screens above the ¥2.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Ningbo Cixing Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of knitting machinery in China and internationally. It operates through Flat Knitting Machine Business, Mobile Internet Business, Automation Equipment and Project Integration Business, and Other Businesses segments.

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Ningbo Cixing Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of knitting machinery in China and internationally. It operates through Flat Knitting Machine Business, Mobile Internet Business, Automation Equipment and Project Integration Business, and Other Businesses segments. The company offers intelligent knitting machinery and equipment; flat knitting machines, steiger, circular machines, and other smart knitting equipment; and computerized shoe machines, automated shoe-making production lines, automatic ironing machines, and industrial robots. It also provides pre-sales, sales, after-sales, and technical support services; and mobile internet services, which include online reading and e-commerce promotion services. In addition, the company engages in the sale of textile machinery, textile machinery software, and textile machinery spare parts; personalized customization and design of textiles, apparel, and footwear based on the Internet of Things; and information technology activities. Ningbo Cixing Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.

Stock analysis

Ningbo Cixing (300307) currently trades at ¥7.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.31, implying the stock looks roughly 218.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.68 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥7.35 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.8000, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥1.59 (bear) to ¥2.31 (bull), the price of ¥7.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ningbo Cixing reported revenue of 1.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was 97.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding +2.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 6.7B CNY (≈ $1.0B) · P/E ratio 56.5 · P/S ratio 2.83 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1300 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −69%, 300307 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.59 Fair Value ¥2.31 Bull ¥2.31
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0805 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥1.67 ¥2.26 ¥3.04 77
Residual Income ¥2.73 ¥2.58 ¥2.01 76
EPV ¥1.98 ¥2.21 ¥2.39 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥1.67 ¥2.26 ¥3.04 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.8300 ¥2.58 ¥3.43 65
Lynch FV ¥0.5600 ¥0.8000 ¥1.04 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.5600 ¥0.8000 ¥1.04 57
EPV ¥1.98 ¥2.21 ¥2.39 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.92 ¥2.55 ¥3.19 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥2.59 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥2.59 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.32 ¥4.30 ¥5.29 66
EV/EBITDA ¥3.74 ¥4.87 ¥6.00 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.47 ¥3.37 ¥4.28 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.00 ¥2.68 ¥4.01 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.73 ¥2.58 ¥2.01 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.98 ¥2.21 ¥2.39 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.59 ¥2.26 ¥2.94 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 42/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.0% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs −1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−44% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

300307 screens 218% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.10× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.42× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 25.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)18 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)14 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)5 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €273.85 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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Ningbo Cixing · Fair Value
¥2.31 −218%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Cixing Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300307

Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Cixing (300307) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.31 versus a price of ¥7.35, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300307?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Cixing is ¥2.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.35.
What is the quality score of 300307?
Ningbo Cixing has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.59, optimistic scenario ¥2.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ningbo Cixing stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.31, about −69% upside versus a price of ¥7.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.59, optimistic scenario ¥2.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
Ningbo Cixing reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ningbo Cixing pay a dividend?
Ningbo Cixing currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ningbo Cixing it is ¥2.31 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥7.35. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ningbo Cixing stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300307 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.35, fair value ¥2.31, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300307?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.31). For Ningbo Cixing the two are ¥5.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ningbo Cixing worth?
The market values Ningbo Cixing at about 6.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.35; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300307?
Our models span a range for Ningbo Cixing: cautious scenario ¥1.59, base ¥2.31, optimistic ¥2.31 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥7.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300307?
Ningbo Cixing trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.31 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 25.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ningbo Cixing (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300307 from its 52-week high?
Ningbo Cixing trades at ¥7.35, about 16% below its 52-week high of ¥8.73 and 21% above the low of ¥6.07 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ningbo Cixing?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ningbo Cixing stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥7.35, calculated fair value ¥2.31 (−69%), Quality Score 52/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300307 calculated?
We run Ningbo Cixing through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ningbo Cixing itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥7.35. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.31, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ningbo Cixing right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Ningbo Cixing (300307) come from?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Cixing grew −1.4 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin −5.9 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Ningbo Cixing

How large is the market capitalisation of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
The market capitalisation of Ningbo Cixing is 6.7B CNY (≈ $1.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ningbo Cixing is 2.83 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Cixing are ¥0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 56.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
The dividend yield of Ningbo Cixing is 0.3% (payout 15.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
The net margin of Ningbo Cixing is 5.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ningbo Cixing is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ningbo Cixing is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
The operating margin of Ningbo Cixing is 18.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
Revenue at Ningbo Cixing is growing +3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ningbo Cixing (300307)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Cixing are growing +10.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ningbo Cixing (300307) generate?
The free cash flow of Ningbo Cixing is −43.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ningbo Cixing (300307) carry?
The net debt of Ningbo Cixing is 71.8M CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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