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Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc (300434) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.7B CNY

SG Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc 300434 · SHE
Price¥11.45
Fair Value¥6.88
Upside-39.9%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.89% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.80 – ¥8.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +1.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.04 ¥6.80 Fair Value ¥6.88 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.80 – ¥21.04 · fair‑value band ¥4.80 – ¥8.60 · the ¥11.45 price screens above the ¥6.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc (300434) currently trades at ¥11.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.88, implying the stock looks roughly 39.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 17.1%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 341M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.80 (bear case) to ¥8.60 (bull case); at ¥11.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -40%, 300434 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.87 ¥5.90 ¥9.07 80
Residual Income ¥4.81 ¥4.83 ¥4.56 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.88 ¥6.10 ¥8.87 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.87 ¥6.05 ¥9.56 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.67 ¥7.40 ¥11.78 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.88 ¥6.14 ¥9.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.56 ¥9.51 ¥14.39 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.87 ¥8.14 ¥11.79 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.74 ¥5.84 ¥8.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.92 ¥8.21 ¥13.08 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.48 ¥7.24 ¥11.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.23 ¥9.27 ¥12.64 54
Lynch FV ¥2.34 ¥3.35 ¥4.35 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.34 ¥3.35 ¥4.35 46
EPV ¥3.47 ¥3.90 ¥4.28 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.6300 ¥1.25 ¥1.89 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.6300 ¥1.08 ¥1.32 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.16 ¥6.88 ¥8.60 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.88 ¥5.17 ¥6.46 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.18 ¥5.57 ¥6.96 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.66 ¥7.32 ¥8.97 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.01 ¥9.11 ¥11.21 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.96 ¥5.36 ¥6.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.18 ¥4.26 ¥6.35 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.87 ¥5.90 ¥9.07 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.88 ¥6.10 ¥8.87 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.81 ¥4.83 ¥4.56 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.47 ¥3.90 ¥4.28 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.01 ¥5.73 ¥7.44 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.24) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.7%
Net margin 17.1%
Return on equity 7.0%
Free cash flow 108M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 19.9
More key figures
Operating margin 39.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4600
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +84.7%
Net cash 341M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc. engages in the research, development, and sale of medicines and health products in China. The company offers over-the-counter drugs, prescription drugs, raw materials and health foods.

Full company description

Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc. engages in the research, development, and sale of medicines and health products in China. The company offers over-the-counter drugs, prescription drugs, raw materials and health foods. It produces and sells plastic composite pipes, pipe fittings and equipment, as well as develops vacuum coating, industrial machinery, pipe fitting molds, construction equipment, and special equipment. The company produces, installs, and maintains special equipment. It also imports and exports spare parts, raw, and auxiliary materials. Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc. was founded in 1962 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc reported revenue of ¥1.0B in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥132M in FY2025, compounding +18.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0B CNY
Latest YoY
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+11.3%
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY21 ¥1.1B
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.0B
Net income +18.6%/yr
FY21 ¥66.5M
FY22 ¥219M
FY23 ¥126M
FY24 ¥91.8M
FY25 ¥132M

300434 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300434

Peer Group

Industrial Distribution · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −40% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.44× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 69 · sector 19
PAST 28 · sector 35
HEALTH 100 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 18 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,376 $625.61 -55%
Fastenal Company FAST $45.49 $20.64 -55%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $232.02 $151.92 -35%
WESCO International, Inc WCC $326.71 $213.01 -35%
Watsco, Inc WSO $385.16 $268.10 -30%
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$232.22 C$127.90 -45%
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $329.35 $191.65 -42%
Finning International Inc FTT C$102.50 C$76.38 -25%
Addtech AB ADDTB kr 329.20 kr 156.35 -53%
Core & Main, Inc CNM $44.66 $49.47 +11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc (300434) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.88 versus a price of ¥11.45, about −40% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300434?
Our model-based fair value for Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc is ¥6.88 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.45.
What is the quality score of 300434?
Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc (300434)?
Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300434?
The net profit margin of Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc is about 17.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc pay a dividend?
Sichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.89% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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