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Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation (300435) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 8.1B CNY

HZ Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation 300435 · SHE
Price¥17.50
Fair Value¥15.37
Upside-12.2%
Quality71/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.22% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.53 – ¥19.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥24.52 to ¥15.37 (−37.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −20.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥11.53 (bear) to ¥19.07 (bull), base ¥15.37. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥34.86 ¥9.20 Fair Value ¥15.37 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.20 – ¥34.86 · fair‑value band ¥11.53 – ¥19.07 · the ¥17.50 price screens above the ¥15.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation (300435) currently trades at ¥17.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.37, implying the stock looks roughly 12.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation generated revenue of 2.6B CNY at a net margin of 15.1%. Revenue declined 21.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 676M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.53 (bear case) to ¥19.07 (bull case); at ¥17.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -12%, 300435 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥17.25 ¥31.83 ¥58.75 80
Residual Income ¥8.34 ¥10.14 ¥22.44 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.53 ¥22.77 ¥38.06 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥18.10 ¥29.10 ¥60.00 38
Owner Earnings ¥21.20 ¥46.00 ¥96.14 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥12.53 ¥21.37 ¥38.45 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥17.76 ¥32.67 ¥59.94 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥18.59 ¥37.69 ¥62.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥13.81 ¥25.36 ¥38.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥17.78 ¥35.10 ¥66.59 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥18.35 ¥36.63 ¥68.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.94 ¥55.37 ¥77.70 54
Lynch FV ¥16.62 ¥23.75 ¥30.87 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥16.62 ¥23.75 ¥30.87 46
EPV ¥12.55 ¥14.40 ¥16.00 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥18.39 ¥24.52 ¥30.65 63
P/S Multiple ¥10.70 ¥14.26 ¥17.83 58
P/B Multiple ¥14.89 ¥19.85 ¥24.81 55
EV/EBIT ¥19.25 ¥25.39 ¥31.53 53
EV/EBITDA ¥18.01 ¥23.75 ¥29.48 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.80 ¥13.65 ¥17.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.44 ¥5.95 ¥8.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥17.25 ¥31.83 ¥58.75 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.53 ¥22.77 ¥38.06 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.34 ¥10.14 ¥22.44 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.94 ¥21.62 ¥26.90 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥22.63 ¥32.32 ¥42.02 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥32.67) versus Asset-Based (¥5.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.3%
Net margin 15.1%
Return on equity 11.9%
Free cash flow 445M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 20.5
More key figures
Operating margin 8.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.02
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -57.7%
Net cash 676M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation develops, designs, manufactures, and sells cryogenic equipment in China.

Full company description

Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation develops, designs, manufactures, and sells cryogenic equipment in China. The company provides engineering services, such as natural gas engineering, air separation, syngas cryogenic separation, olefins separation, specialty gas, and chemical gas purification; manufacturers and sells plate-fin heat exchanger, spiral wound heat exchanger, cold box, distillation column, cryogenic vessel, and skid integration products; and offers EPC services, including natural gas liquefaction plant, natural gas processing plant, air separation plant, rare gas separation, and purification separation plant. It also exports its products to the United States, Europe, Africa, and Asia. Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation reported revenue of ¥2.8B in FY2025 versus ¥2.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥450M in FY2025, compounding +16.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+21.0%
Revenue +3.4%/yr
FY21 ¥2.4B
FY22 ¥3.3B
FY23 ¥3.0B
FY24 ¥2.7B
FY25 ¥2.8B
Net income +16.4%/yr
FY21 ¥245M
FY22 ¥278M
FY23 ¥350M
FY24 −¥78.0M
FY25 ¥450M

300435 screens 12% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300435

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -21% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.36× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.11× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 17 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 47 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation (300435) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.37 versus a price of ¥17.50, about −12% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300435?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation is ¥15.37 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥17.50.
What is the quality score of 300435?
Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation (300435)?
Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300435?
The net profit margin of Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation is about 15.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.22% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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