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Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co (300505) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 6.3B CNY

KC Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co 300505 · SHE
Price¥19.17
Fair Value¥33.97
Upside+77.2%
Quality58/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 9.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.76% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range ¥20.71 – ¥53.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥34.67 to ¥33.97 (−2.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −25.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 77% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥20.71). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥20.71 to ¥53.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥38.18 ¥7.75 Fair Value ¥33.97 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.75 – ¥38.18 · fair‑value band ¥20.71 – ¥53.00 · the ¥19.17 price screens below the ¥33.97 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co (300505) currently trades at ¥19.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥33.97, implying the stock looks roughly 77.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co generated revenue of 4.3B CNY at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 37.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 262M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥20.71 (bear case) to ¥53.00 (bull case); at ¥19.17, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 77%, 300505 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥6.99 ¥10.49 ¥17.07 80
Residual Income ¥10.60 ¥14.16 ¥41.85 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥15.82 ¥31.45 ¥55.27 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥7.22 ¥9.82 ¥17.37 38
Owner Earnings ¥23.32 ¥48.13 ¥98.31 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥15.82 ¥29.32 ¥56.36 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥21.47 ¥41.39 ¥78.61 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥22.34 ¥48.39 ¥82.94 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥12.54 ¥28.07 ¥46.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥17.08 ¥38.80 ¥81.06 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥17.68 ¥40.44 ¥81.89 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥11.23 ¥78.30 ¥109.88 54
Lynch FV ¥24.37 ¥34.82 ¥45.27 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥24.37 ¥34.82 ¥45.27 46
EPV ¥19.09 ¥21.65 ¥23.85 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.22 ¥6.42 ¥9.72 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.22 ¥5.55 ¥6.78 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥26.00 ¥34.67 ¥43.34 63
P/S Multiple ¥17.79 ¥23.72 ¥29.65 58
P/B Multiple ¥21.05 ¥28.07 ¥35.08 55
EV/EBIT ¥28.61 ¥37.18 ¥45.74 53
EV/EBITDA ¥27.68 ¥35.94 ¥44.19 54
EV/Revenue ¥18.48 ¥25.15 ¥31.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.31 ¥7.11 ¥10.62 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥6.99 ¥10.49 ¥17.07 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥15.82 ¥31.45 ¥55.27 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.60 ¥14.16 ¥41.85 76
ROIC Compounder ¥23.06 ¥32.00 ¥44.09 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥32.81 ¥46.88 ¥60.94 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥46.88) versus Dividend Discount (¥5.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +37.4%
Net margin 9.7%
Return on equity 15.3%
Free cash flow 77.5M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 15.0
More key figures
Operating margin 4.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.54
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -42.9%
Net cash 262M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 45
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells phosphate chemicals in China. The company's products include phosphate products for animals and plants; industrial grade and fine phosphate products; iron phosphate; and flourides and gypsum building materials, such as iron concentrate powder, phosphogypsum modified cement coagulant, and …

Full company description

Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells phosphate chemicals in China. The company's products include phosphate products for animals and plants; industrial grade and fine phosphate products; iron phosphate; and flourides and gypsum building materials, such as iron concentrate powder, phosphogypsum modified cement coagulant, and industrial sodium silicofluoride, as well as provides phosphorus resources technical service program. Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is based in Kunming, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥4.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound +27.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥454M in FY2025, compounding +24.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+27.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+31.2%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+21.6%
Revenue +27.6%/yr
FY21 ¥1.5B
FY22 ¥2.5B
FY23 ¥2.7B
FY24 ¥3.2B
FY25 ¥4.1B
Net income +24.5%/yr
FY21 ¥189M
FY22 ¥347M
FY23 −¥91.5M
FY24 ¥176M
FY25 ¥454M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300505

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +77% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 37% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.17× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.46× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 37
PAST 61 · sector 24
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co (300505) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥33.97 versus a price of ¥19.17, about +77% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300505?
Our model-based fair value for Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co is ¥33.97 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥19.17.
What is the quality score of 300505?
Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co (300505)?
Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300505?
The net profit margin of Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co is about 9.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co pay a dividend?
Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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