Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co (300509) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +4.6% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥6.56 (bear) to ¥10.94 (bull), base ¥8.75. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.35 – ¥16.22 · fair‑value band ¥6.56 – ¥10.94 · the ¥8.63 price screens below the ¥8.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co (300509) currently trades at ¥8.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.75, implying the stock looks roughly 1.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue grew 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 429M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.56 (bear case) to ¥10.94 (bull case); at ¥8.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 1%, 300509 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥13.67) versus Asset-Based (¥1.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 300509 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of beverage packaging machinery in China and internationally.
Full company description
Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of beverage packaging machinery in China and internationally. The company offers pretreatment systems, including water treatment, processing, UHT, CIP, COP/SOP, and disinfectant blending systems, as well as carbon mixers; Starbloc, bottled water, big container, aseptic, ultra-clean, CSD, hot-fill, and non-beverage combiblocks; blowing systems, such as bottle, container, and gallon blowers; and aseptic, ultra-clean, hot, water, gallon-water, CSD, liquor, condiment, edible oil, and daily chemical product filling systems. It also provides secondary packaging systems comprising conveyor systems, bottle warmers, bottle tilting systems, labelers, shower cooling tunnels, film and carton wrappers, starpacks, sorting robots, robot encasers and palletizers, and mechanical palletizers; and automated warehouse systems, rail guided vehicles, automated guided vehicles, and warehouse management systems. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Zhangjiagang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥710M in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥124M in FY2025, compounding +20.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 300509: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
Compare Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co (300509) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 300509?
What is the quality score of 300509?
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co (300509)?
What is the net profit margin of 300509?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.