Chengdu Jafaantai Technology Co Ltd (300559) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥1.66 to ¥3.86 (+132.8%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −5.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.02 – ¥20.32 · fair‑value band ¥2.89 – ¥4.82 · the ¥10.20 price screens above the ¥3.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Chengdu Jafaantai Technology Co Ltd (300559) currently trades at ¥10.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.86, implying the stock looks roughly 62.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chengdu Jafaantai Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 421M CNY at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue declined 17.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 455M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.89 (bear case) to ¥4.82 (bull case); at ¥10.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at -62%, 300559 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥4.31) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.5100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chengdu Jiafaantai Education Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in research, development, production, and sale of educational digital products in China.
Full company description
Chengdu Jiafaantai Education Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in research, development, production, and sale of educational digital products in China. The company offers smart recruitment products, including an online inspection system, an identity verification system, a cheating prevention and control system, smart security gates, a patrol command system, an English listening and speaking assessment solution, multifunctional intelligent security door, paperless physical examination, test paper circulation system, intelligent confidentiality rooms, and educational examination comprehensive management platform. It also provides smart education solutions comprising a comprehensive solution for teaching and examination coordination, a smart campus and smart sport overall solution, new college entrance examination solution, and regional smart education solutions. In addition, the company offers career services, a career planning education cloud platform system, a career education and training system, a career experience center, and a volunteer filling system. The company was formerly known as Chengdu Jiafaantai Technology Co., Ltd and changed its name to Chengdu Jiafaantai Education Technology Co.,Ltd. in June 2018. Chengdu Jiafaantai Education Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chengdu Jafaantai Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥431M in FY2025 versus ¥370M in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥31.7M in FY2025, compounding −21.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300559 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 149 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 875.84 MXN | -9% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $11.87 | $15.60 | +31% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.99 | $41.45 | +12% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $142.06 | $152.01 | +7% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹123.90 | ₹14.81 | -88% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $128.22 | $135.45 | +6% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $78.59 | $139.45 | +77% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $25.64 | $20.98 | -18% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.24 | $40.65 | +30% |
| Offcn Education Technology Co 002607 | ¥2.20 | ¥0.3300 | -85% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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