TangYuan Electric (300789) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of TangYuan Electric stock ¥4.36, price ¥14.58, that is 70.1% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.51 – ¥34.22 · fair‑value band ¥3.10 – ¥4.98 · the ¥14.58 price screens above the ¥4.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Chengdu Tangyuan Electric Co.,Ltd. provides machine vision and robotics products and solutions primarily in China.
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The company offers machine vision intelligent detection equipment, big data intelligent management and control systems, robots, and other products, as well as technical services in the fields of smart transportation, emergency response, and manufacturing.
It is also involved in the railway public transportation and smart station, robot and smart factory, smart emergency response, new materials, and other businesses. Chengdu Tangyuan Electric Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2010 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Stock analysis
TangYuan Electric (300789) currently trades at ¥14.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.36, 70% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥5.59 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥14.58 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.64, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥3.10 (bear) to ¥4.98 (bull), the price of ¥14.58 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
TangYuan Electric reported revenue of 491M CNY in FY2025 versus 352M CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was 26.3M CNY in FY2025, compounding −20.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1B CNY (≈ $314M) Small · P/S ratio 5.82 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2800 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin −10.9% · Return on equity −7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −81.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −70%, 300789 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥3.10Fair Value ¥4.36Bull¥4.98
Price ¥14.58 · Downside -70.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.5% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−16.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17.2% vs −3.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 12%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−70.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−14.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−81.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−60.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.9% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.02× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)7.64× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)18· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TangYuan Electric Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300789
Frequently asked questions
Is TangYuan Electric (300789) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.36 versus a price of ¥14.58, about 70% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300789?
Our model-based fair value for TangYuan Electric is ¥4.36 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.58.
What is the quality score of 300789?
TangYuan Electric has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TangYuan Electric (300789)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.36 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.10, optimistic scenario ¥4.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TangYuan Electric stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.36, about 70% lower versus a price of ¥14.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.10, optimistic scenario ¥4.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
TangYuan Electric reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 375M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does TangYuan Electric pay a dividend?
TangYuan Electric currently shows a dividend yield of 0.89% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of TangYuan Electric (300789) and when is the ex-dividend date?
TangYuan Electric pays a dividend of ¥0.13 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 29, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2020. The payout ratio is 71.2% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.9% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.9% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TangYuan Electric it is ¥4.36 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥14.58. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is TangYuan Electric stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 300789 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.58, fair value ¥4.36, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300789?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.36). For TangYuan Electric the two are ¥10.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TangYuan Electric worth?
The market values TangYuan Electric at about 2.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.58; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300789?
Our models span a range for TangYuan Electric: cautious scenario ¥3.10, base ¥4.36, optimistic ¥4.98 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥14.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
Balance-sheet figures for TangYuan Electric (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −7.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300789 from its 52-week high?
TangYuan Electric trades at ¥14.58, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥25.28 and 4% above the low of ¥14.06 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TangYuan Electric?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Norfolk Southern Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TangYuan Electric stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥14.58, calculated fair value ¥4.36 (−70%), Quality Score 44/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300789 calculated?
We run TangYuan Electric through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥4.36 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. TangYuan Electric itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥14.58. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.36, about 70% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TangYuan Electric right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of TangYuan Electric (300789) come from?
Earnings per share at TangYuan Electric grew +12.4 % a year from 2014 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.3 %, EBIT margin +9.8 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −11.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of TangYuan Electric
How large is the market capitalisation of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
The market capitalisation of TangYuan Electric is 2.1B CNY (≈ $314M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TangYuan Electric is 5.82 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
Earnings per share at TangYuan Electric are ¥−0.2800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
The dividend yield of TangYuan Electric is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
The net margin of TangYuan Electric is −10.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TangYuan Electric is −7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TangYuan Electric is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TangYuan Electric (300789)?
The operating margin of TangYuan Electric is −81.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TangYuan Electric (300789)?
Revenue at TangYuan Electric is growing −60.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TangYuan Electric (300789)?
Earnings per share at TangYuan Electric are growing +93.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TangYuan Electric (300789) generate?
The free cash flow of TangYuan Electric is −21.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does TangYuan Electric (300789) hold?
TangYuan Electric holds more cash than debt, 164M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026