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DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co (300790) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 13.7B CNY

DY DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co 300790 · SHE
Price¥17.83
Fair Value¥8.81
Upside-50.6%
Quality38/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.45% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥6.06 – ¥11.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −20.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥6.06 to ¥11.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥29.08 ¥5.98 Fair Value ¥8.81 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.98 – ¥29.08 · fair‑value band ¥6.06 – ¥11.01 · the ¥17.83 price screens above the ¥8.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co (300790) currently trades at ¥17.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.81, implying the stock looks roughly 50.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co generated revenue of 3.6B CNY at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue grew 33.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. Net debt stands at 1.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.06 (bear case) to ¥11.01 (bull case); at ¥17.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -51%, 300790 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.37 ¥4.80 ¥6.97 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.25 ¥9.14 ¥11.73 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.71 ¥13.87 ¥18.04 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.20 ¥22.33 ¥31.33 54
Lynch FV ¥7.13 ¥10.18 ¥13.23 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥7.13 ¥10.18 ¥13.23 46
EPV ¥5.66 ¥6.71 ¥7.63 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.77 ¥10.36 ¥12.95 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.82 ¥7.76 ¥9.70 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.00 ¥8.00 ¥10.00 55
EV/EBIT ¥9.28 ¥12.58 ¥15.89 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.35 ¥14.01 ¥17.67 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.81 ¥7.13 ¥9.46 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.53 ¥3.39 ¥5.07 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.37 ¥4.80 ¥6.97 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.25 ¥9.14 ¥11.73 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.71 ¥13.87 ¥18.04 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥13.87) versus Asset-Based (¥3.39). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +33.2%
Net margin 7.1%
Return on equity 9.8%
Free cash flow −234M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 53.4
More key figures
Operating margin 9.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4900
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.3%
Net debt 1.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 18
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of optical lenses and other products in China.

Full company description

DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of optical lenses and other products in China. The company offers surveillance lens, such as super starlight full color series, vari-focus series, starlight series, universal prime focus series, large angle fixed focus series, fisheye series, CS series, zoom block lens, and 4k series; Automotive lenses and optics; and HUD, Lidar, Applied optics. DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co reported revenue of ¥3.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.1B in FY2021, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥246M in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+23.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+22.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.1%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+23.6%
Revenue +13.2%/yr
FY21 ¥2.1B
FY22 ¥1.8B
FY23 ¥2.1B
FY24 ¥2.7B
FY25 ¥3.4B
Net income +0.4%/yr
FY21 ¥243M
FY22 ¥144M
FY23 ¥30.9M
FY24 ¥184M
FY25 ¥246M

300790 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Apple Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300790

Peer Group

Consumer Electronics · 129 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 33% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.37× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 53.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.16× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 23.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 100 · sector 13
PAST 39 · sector 10
HEALTH 82 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 9 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Apple Inc AAPL $313.33 $122.91 -61%
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 255,000 KRW 138,019 KRW -46%
Sony Group SONYN 366.00 MXN 468.94 MXN +28%
Xiaomi Corporation 1810 HK$26.88 HK$39.84 +48%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 179,000 KRW 101,531 KRW -43%
Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 ¥277.96 ¥35.89 -87%
Huaqin Co 603296 ¥78.20 ¥65.69 -16%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥22.25 ¥18.86 -15%
LG Corp 003550 102,400 KRW 93,881 KRW -8%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866 ¥105.92 ¥78.52 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co (300790) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.81 versus a price of ¥17.83, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300790?
Our model-based fair value for DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co is ¥8.81 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥17.83.
What is the quality score of 300790?
DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co (300790)?
DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300790?
The net profit margin of DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co is about 7.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co pay a dividend?
DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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