Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. stock ¥1.73, price ¥17.19, upside -89.9%, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.79 – ¥43.00 · fair‑value band ¥1.49 – ¥1.94 · the ¥17.19 price screens above the ¥1.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
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Kailong High Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and after-sales service of SCR exhaust after-treatment products.
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The company offers light and heavy duty diesel, marine/stationary engine, gasoline engine, and CNG engine after treatment systems, as well as diesel particulate filters, exhaust treatment devices for tunnel/industrial stoves, vehicle exhaust heating systems, auto temperature-control cooling systems of engine, and centralized lubrication systems of passenger-carrying chassis, etc.
Kailong High Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Wuxi, China.
Stock analysis
Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912) currently trades at ¥17.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.73, 89.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥1.96 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the ¥17.19 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥1.73, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.49 (bear) to ¥1.94 (bull), the price of ¥17.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 592M CNY in FY2025 versus 828M CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −107M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.0B CNY (≈ $294M) Micro · P/S ratio 3.42 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.9700 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −17.5% · Return on equity −24.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.1% · Operating margin −7.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −90%, 300912 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥1.49Fair Value ¥1.73Bull¥1.94
Price ¥17.19 · Upside -89.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.3%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.1% (2020) → −11.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 785 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside−89.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−8.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−17.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−7.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)26.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B4.74× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.08× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)7· sector 27
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300912
Frequently asked questions
Is Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.73 versus a price of ¥17.19, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300912?
Our model-based fair value for Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. is ¥1.73 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥17.19.
What is the quality score of 300912?
Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.73 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.49, optimistic scenario ¥1.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.73, about −90% upside versus a price of ¥17.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.49, optimistic scenario ¥1.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 636M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
Does Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 25, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -12.0 % per year. As of Oct 25, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300912 use?
Our models discount Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. grew -12.0 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.15 %: that much free cash flow Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. it is ¥1.73 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of ¥17.19. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, 300912 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥17.19, fair value ¥1.73, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300912?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥17.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.73). For Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. the two are ¥15.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. at about 2.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is ¥17.19; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300912?
Our models span a range for Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥1.49, base ¥1.73, optimistic ¥1.94 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price ¥17.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity −24.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300912 from its 52-week high?
Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. trades at ¥17.19, about 60% below its 52-week high of ¥43.00 and 11% above the low of ¥15.50 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price ¥17.19, calculated fair value ¥1.73 (−90%), Quality Score 46/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300912 calculated?
We run Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ¥17.19. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.73, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
The market capitalisation of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. is 2.0B CNY (≈ $294M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. is 3.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
Earnings per share at Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. are ¥−0.9700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
The dividend yield of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
The net margin of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. is −17.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. is −24.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. is −7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
The operating margin of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. is −7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
Revenue at Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. is growing +26.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912)?
Earnings per share at Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. are growing −33.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. (300912) carry?
The net debt of Kailong High Technology Co. Ltd. is 236M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 78.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 25, 2026