NINGBO HENGSHUAI Co (300969) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 16.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥16.59 to ¥15.39 (−7.2%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −22.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥8.33 to ¥20.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥16.47 – ¥120.67 · fair‑value band ¥8.33 – ¥20.31 · the ¥77.56 price screens above the ¥15.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
NINGBO HENGSHUAI Co (300969) currently trades at ¥77.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.39, implying the stock looks roughly 80.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, NINGBO HENGSHUAI Co generated revenue of 983M CNY at a net margin of 16.8%. Revenue grew 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at 233M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.33 (bear case) to ¥20.31 (bull case); at ¥77.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -80%, 300969 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥19.88) versus Asset-Based (¥5.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NINGBO HENGSHUAI Co., LTD. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive motor technology and fluid technology related products worldwide.
Full company description
NINGBO HENGSHUAI Co., LTD. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive motor technology and fluid technology related products worldwide. It offers driving vision washing system products that include automobile washing pumps, washing system products, active sensing washing systems of smart car advanced driving assistance systems (ADAS) sensors, and other products; and thermal management system products, such as cooling manifolds, electronic circulation pumps, and other products of new energy vehicle thermal management systems. The company also provides motor technology products comprising trunk and side door motors, fan motors, ABS Motors, drum motors, and others; and electric module products, including invisible door handle drive mechanisms, charging small door actuators, and others. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China. NINGBO HENGSHUAI Co., LTD. is a subsidiary of Ningbo Hengshuai Investment Management Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NINGBO HENGSHUAI Co reported revenue of ¥947M in FY2025 versus ¥584M in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥167M in FY2025, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2021.
300969 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 643 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 511,000 KRW | 643,909 KRW | +26% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,142 MXN | +2% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹169.50 | ₹80.63 | -52% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹46,750 | ₹13,061 | -72% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,082 | ₹393.20 | -81% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,232 | ₹426.57 | -65% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,126 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 71,500 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +175% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹799.90 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
| Balkrishna Industries Limited BALKRISIND | ₹2,497 | ₹1,211 | -51% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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