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Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation (300986) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.8B CNY

JG Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation 300986 · SHE
Price¥14.80
Fair Value¥8.34
Upside-43.7%
Quality28/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.25 – ¥10.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥8.85 to ¥8.34 (−5.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥43.27 ¥4.15 Fair Value ¥8.34 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.15 – ¥43.27 · fair‑value band ¥6.25 – ¥10.42 · the ¥14.80 price screens above the ¥8.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation (300986) currently trades at ¥14.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.34, implying the stock looks roughly 43.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation generated revenue of 3.1B CNY at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 21.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.25 (bear case) to ¥10.42 (bull case); at ¥14.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -44%, 300986 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.30 ¥4.54 ¥4.89 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.17 ¥13.06 ¥16.21 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥11.72 ¥16.75 ¥21.77 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥26.24 ¥58.38 ¥123.38 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.70 ¥18.83 ¥26.43 54
Lynch FV ¥8.79 ¥12.56 ¥16.33 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥8.79 ¥12.56 ¥16.33 46
EPV ¥7.19 ¥8.35 ¥9.35 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.25 ¥8.34 ¥10.42 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.06 ¥6.75 ¥8.44 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.06 ¥6.75 ¥8.44 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.30 ¥15.13 ¥18.97 53
EV/EBITDA ¥26.62 ¥35.56 ¥44.49 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.01 ¥11.53 ¥15.04 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.66 ¥3.57 ¥5.32 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.30 ¥4.54 ¥4.89 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.17 ¥13.06 ¥16.21 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥11.72 ¥16.75 ¥21.77 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥58.38) versus Asset-Based (¥3.57). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.8%
Net margin 5.8%
Return on equity 8.4%
Free cash flow −155M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 45.1
More key figures
Operating margin 11.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4200
EPS growth (YoY) -5.7%
Net debt 1.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, design, production, and sales of aluminum formwork in China and internationally.

Full company description

Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, design, production, and sales of aluminum formwork in China and internationally. The company offers PPVC precast housing molds, quick deck system, single side wall and table framework, aluminum formwork for basement, tunnel formwork system, steel-framed timber formwork, plastic formwork, bridge steel formwork system, and shaft steel formwork systems. It also provides climbing scaffolding, such as protection screen, automatic hydraulic climbing formwork, and self-climbing platform; and shoring systems, such as ringlock scaffolding systems, h-frame scaffolding, tower support, steel prop, aluminum beam, formwork bracing rib systems, modular building shoring systems, duralok shoring systems, truss shoring systems, and ringlock shoring systems. In addition, the company offers construction and decorative materials for lighting, sanitary, and ties; steel structures; and pre-cast and steel structure modular buildings. Further, it engages in green construction and new energy business; and modular houses. Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation Limited was founded in 2011 and is based in Zhongshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation reported revenue of ¥3.0B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound +19.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥164M in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+17.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.5%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+43.1%
Revenue +19.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.5B
FY22 ¥1.9B
FY23 ¥2.2B
FY24 ¥2.5B
FY25 ¥3.0B
Net income −0.1%/yr
FY21 ¥164M
FY22 ¥178M
FY23 −¥45.3M
FY24 ¥73.7M
FY25 ¥164M

300986 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300986

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −44% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 4
FUTURE 100 · sector 9
PAST 33 · sector 23
HEALTH 89 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $469.98 $212.34 -55%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.81 $45.65 -68%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $68.61 $17.35 -75%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €76.62 €101.60 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 523.20 CHF 307.66 -41%
Lennox International Inc LII $543.93 $363.09 -33%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €70.76 -19%
Masco Corporation MAS $78.04 $54.36 -30%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,420 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 36.03 kr 25.37 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation (300986) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.34 versus a price of ¥14.80, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300986?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation is ¥8.34 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.80.
What is the quality score of 300986?
Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation (300986)?
Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300986?
The net profit margin of Jiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation is about 5.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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