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Hootech Inc (301026) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 5.5B CNY

HI Hootech Inc 301026 · SHE
Price¥22.82
Fair Value¥13.36
Upside-41.5%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
1.19% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥10.02 – ¥16.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +23.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 41% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥46.78 ¥8.94 Fair Value ¥13.36 Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.94 – ¥46.78 · fair‑value band ¥10.02 – ¥16.71 · the ¥22.82 price screens above the ¥13.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hootech Inc (301026) currently trades at ¥22.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.36, implying the stock looks roughly 41.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hootech Inc generated revenue of 5.4B CNY at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 150.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. Net debt stands at 563M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥10.02 (bear case) to ¥16.71 (bull case); at ¥22.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -41%, 301026 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.49 ¥7.26 ¥12.06 76
Growth-Adj P/E ¥16.89 ¥24.13 ¥31.37 68
ROIC Compounder ¥13.26 ¥17.62 ¥22.17 67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.35 ¥37.28 ¥52.32 54
Lynch FV ¥14.36 ¥20.51 ¥26.66 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥14.36 ¥20.51 ¥26.66 46
EPV ¥11.19 ¥12.28 ¥13.22 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.02 ¥13.36 ¥16.71 63
P/S Multiple ¥10.02 ¥13.36 ¥16.71 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.02 ¥13.36 ¥16.71 55
EV/EBIT ¥14.38 ¥17.73 ¥21.09 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.85 ¥15.70 ¥18.55 54
EV/Revenue ¥13.03 ¥16.77 ¥20.52 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.68 ¥4.94 ¥7.37 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.49 ¥7.26 ¥12.06 76
ROIC Compounder ¥13.26 ¥17.62 ¥22.17 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥16.89 ¥24.13 ¥31.37 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥24.13) versus Asset-Based (¥4.94). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +150%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 12.6%
Free cash flow −813M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 26.5
More key figures
Operating margin 4.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.9300
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +85.5%
Net debt 563M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hootech Inc. engages in the research, development, production, sale, and service of precious metal recycling and related products in China. The company offers platinum, palladium, rhodium, silver, and other precious metals and their new material products.

Full company description

Hootech Inc. engages in the research, development, production, sale, and service of precious metal recycling and related products in China. The company offers platinum, palladium, rhodium, silver, and other precious metals and their new material products. It recovers precious metals from waste catalysts; processes precious metals into dichlorotetraammine platinum, dichlorodiammine palladium, high-purity ammonium rhenate, etc., as well as provides trading services for its precious metal recycling and new material business services. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Xuzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hootech Inc reported revenue of ¥4.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.2B in FY2021, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥174M in FY2025, compounding −8.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+61.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+31.8%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+36.9%
Revenue +17.6%/yr
FY21 ¥2.2B
FY22 ¥2.6B
FY23 ¥2.5B
FY24 ¥2.7B
FY25 ¥4.3B
Net income −8.3%/yr
FY21 ¥246M
FY22 ¥146M
FY23 ¥105M
FY24 ¥117M
FY25 ¥174M

301026 screens 41% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hootech Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301026

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Above median
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 150% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.02× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 50 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hootech Inc (301026) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.36 versus a price of ¥22.82, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301026?
Our model-based fair value for Hootech Inc is ¥13.36 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥22.82.
What is the quality score of 301026?
Hootech Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hootech Inc (301026)?
Hootech Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301026?
The net profit margin of Hootech Inc is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hootech Inc pay a dividend?
Hootech Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.19% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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