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Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co (301029) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 20.2B CNY

DY Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co 301029 · SHE
Price¥27.76
Fair Value¥14.85
Upside-46.5%
Quality59/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.01% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.98 – ¥18.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥16.24 to ¥14.85 (−8.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −10.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥8.98 to ¥18.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥71.55 ¥16.09 Fair Value ¥14.85 Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥16.09 – ¥71.55 · fair‑value band ¥8.98 – ¥18.16 · the ¥27.76 price screens above the ¥14.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co (301029) currently trades at ¥27.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.85, implying the stock looks roughly 46.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co generated revenue of 3.1B CNY at a net margin of 16.9%. Revenue grew 20.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 38.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.98 (bear case) to ¥18.16 (bull case); at ¥27.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -47%, 301029 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.54 ¥7.69 ¥12.77 80
Residual Income ¥6.32 ¥7.45 ¥15.24 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.75 ¥12.00 ¥19.47 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.64 ¥7.08 ¥13.42 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.27 ¥11.39 ¥21.44 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.75 ¥12.32 ¥20.51 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.22 ¥17.88 ¥29.73 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.10 ¥22.15 ¥36.00 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.86 ¥11.07 ¥19.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.78 ¥15.38 ¥28.86 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥9.08 ¥18.67 ¥34.60 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.49 ¥33.74 ¥47.08 54
Lynch FV ¥9.67 ¥13.82 ¥17.97 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.67 ¥13.82 ¥17.97 46
EPV ¥8.48 ¥9.63 ¥10.63 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥12.71 ¥16.95 ¥21.19 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.97 ¥9.30 ¥11.62 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.29 ¥13.72 ¥17.15 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.25 ¥17.12 ¥21.00 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.54 ¥14.85 ¥18.16 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.48 ¥9.99 ¥12.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.44 ¥4.60 ¥6.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.54 ¥7.69 ¥12.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.75 ¥12.00 ¥19.47 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.32 ¥7.45 ¥15.24 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.54 ¥13.28 ¥16.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥13.92 ¥19.88 ¥25.85 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥19.88) versus Asset-Based (¥4.60). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.4%
Net margin 16.9%
Return on equity 11.9%
Free cash flow 131M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 38.9
More key figures
Operating margin 19.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8200
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of industrial automation equipment and parts in China and internationally.

Full company description

Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of industrial automation equipment and parts in China and internationally. The company supplies factory automation parts, such as linear motion parts, transmission components, pneumatic components, aluminum profiles and accessories, industrial frame structural components, machined parts, small mechanical parts, electronic and electrical components, and others. Its products are used in application areas of the automation equipment industry, including new energy lithium batteries, 3C, automobiles, photovoltaics, industrial robots, military industry, medical care, semiconductors, lasers, food, logistics and many other industries. The company was formerly known as Dongguan Yiheda Automation Technology Co., Ltd. Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co., Ltd. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2025 versus ¥1.8B in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥512M in FY2025, compounding +6.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+17.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+25.3%
Revenue +13.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.8B
FY22 ¥2.5B
FY23 ¥2.9B
FY24 ¥2.5B
FY25 ¥2.9B
Net income +6.3%/yr
FY21 ¥401M
FY22 ¥506M
FY23 ¥546M
FY24 ¥404M
FY25 ¥512M

301029 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301029

Peer Group

Tools & Accessories · 120 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 38.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 22.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 30.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 3
FUTURE 100 · sector 14
PAST 48 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$129.60 HK$81.05 -37%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $410.99 $350.46 -15%
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $595.49 $184.29 -69%
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $252.58 $154.80 -39%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $88.22 $54.24 -39%
AB SKF (publ) SKFB kr 258.90 kr 192.57 -26%
The Timken Company TKR $139.47 $66.33 -52%
The Toro Company TTC $94.42 $69.71 -26%
SFS Group SFSN CHF 140.00 CHF 118.30 -16%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥29.33 ¥35.72 +22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co (301029) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.85 versus a price of ¥27.76, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301029?
Our model-based fair value for Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co is ¥14.85 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥27.76.
What is the quality score of 301029?
Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co (301029)?
Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301029?
The net profit margin of Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co is about 16.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co pay a dividend?
Dongguan Yiheda Automation Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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