Guangdong Nedfon Air System Co (301043) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 33 days ago
Share price −9.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥18.08 – ¥80.30 · fair‑value band ¥12.29 – ¥20.48 · the ¥43.99 price screens above the ¥16.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong Nedfon Air System Co (301043) currently trades at ¥43.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.39, implying the stock looks roughly 62.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Nedfon Air System Co generated revenue of 564M CNY at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. Net debt stands at 183M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.29 (bear case) to ¥20.48 (bull case); at ¥43.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -63%, 301043 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.64) versus Asset-Based (¥8.33). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangdong Nedfon Air System Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells ventilation products in China and internationally.
Full company description
Guangdong Nedfon Air System Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells ventilation products in China and internationally. The company offers air curtain, household exhaust fan, industry ventilation fan, duct fan for tube, bathroom master, belt-driven cooling fan, energy recovery ventilators, ventilators for air conditioning system, and ventilators for fire-fighting application and other special applications, as well as fresh air systems and air fan. Guangdong Nedfon Air System Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Taishan, China. Guangdong Nedfon Air System Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Taishan Aoda Investment Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong Nedfon Air System Co reported revenue of ¥557M in FY2025 versus ¥551M in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥68.6M in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2021.
301043 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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