Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co (301049) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 1.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 33 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥26.00 to ¥3.87 (−85.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (¥2.89 to ¥5.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.16 – ¥41.82 · fair‑value band ¥2.89 – ¥5.78 · the ¥19.82 price screens above the ¥3.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co (301049) currently trades at ¥19.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.87, implying the stock looks roughly 80.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co generated revenue of 178M CNY at a net margin of -73.1%. Revenue declined 35.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.1%. Net debt stands at 109M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.89 (bear case) to ¥5.78 (bull case); at ¥19.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -80%, 301049 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when 301049 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the incineration, landfill, physical and chemical treatment, comprehensive utilization of industrial hazardous waste, and dismantling and sales of waste electrical and electronic products. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Chuzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co reported revenue of ¥195M in FY2025 versus ¥226M in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥141M in FY2025.
301049 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 166 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥15.75 | ¥20.95 | +33% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
Compare Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co (301049) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 301049?
What is the quality score of 301049?
What is the revenue of Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co (301049)?
What is the net profit margin of 301049?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.