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Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co (301167) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 1.6B CNY

AP Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co 301167 · SHE
Price¥14.03
Fair Value¥4.07
Upside-71.0%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.65% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.32 – ¥5.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 33 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥5.40 to ¥4.07 (−24.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥31.49 ¥8.42 Fair Value ¥4.07 Dec 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range ¥8.42 – ¥31.49 · fair‑value band ¥3.32 – ¥5.08 · the ¥14.03 price screens above the ¥4.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co (301167) currently trades at ¥14.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.07, implying the stock looks roughly 71.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co generated revenue of 356M CNY at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 73.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.32 (bear case) to ¥5.08 (bull case); at ¥14.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -71%, 301167 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.67 ¥3.10 ¥3.76 80
Residual Income ¥5.65 ¥5.26 ¥3.89 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.33 ¥4.53 ¥5.99 74
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.62 ¥3.07 ¥3.83 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.33 ¥4.49 ¥6.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.97 ¥5.60 ¥7.76 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.26 ¥4.37 ¥5.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.94 ¥3.72 ¥4.56 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.36 ¥4.34 ¥5.40 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.96 ¥3.65 ¥4.30 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.32 ¥1.61 ¥1.81 54
EPV ¥3.21 ¥3.49 ¥3.73 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.05 ¥4.07 ¥5.08 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.47 ¥3.29 ¥4.12 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.47 ¥3.29 ¥4.12 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.32 ¥6.71 ¥8.10 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.66 ¥7.17 ¥8.68 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.12 ¥5.40 ¥6.68 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.24 ¥5.68 ¥8.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.67 ¥3.10 ¥3.76 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.33 ¥4.53 ¥5.99 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.65 ¥5.26 ¥3.89 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.21 ¥3.49 ¥3.73 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.15 ¥3.08 ¥4.00 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥5.68) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 356M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.3%
Net margin 6.0%
Return on equity 2.4%
Free cash flow 20.5M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 73.3
More key figures
Operating margin 14.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1900
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -4.2%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co.,Ltd. provides architectural design, consulting, research, and development services in China.

Full company description

Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co.,Ltd. provides architectural design, consulting, research, and development services in China. The company offers architectural design; urban and rural planning; landscape architecture and design; municipal public design; construction drawing review and engineering quality inspections; decoration design; refabricated and green building design and consulting; engineering construction feasibility study; power and intelligent design; BIM design and consulting; low-carbon energy-saving research and technical consulting; light environment design; rural construction design; engineering cost consulting and project management; full-process engineering consulting; and other services, as well as design services of various civil and industrial buildings. It also engages in the design of hospitals, urban complexes, culture, education and sports, industrial parks, office buildings, residential area planning, and residential monomers. Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1955 and is based in Hefei, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co reported revenue of ¥355M in FY2025 versus ¥393M in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥21.7M in FY2025, compounding −24.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
355M CNY
Latest YoY
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.8%
Revenue −2.5%/yr
FY21 ¥393M
FY22 ¥509M
FY23 ¥514M
FY24 ¥354M
FY25 ¥355M
Net income −24.6%/yr
FY21 ¥67.2M
FY22 ¥82.3M
FY23 ¥59.7M
FY24 ¥15.6M
FY25 ¥21.7M

301167 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301167

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 73.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.64× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 59.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 2 · sector 17
PAST 10 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co (301167) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.07 versus a price of ¥14.03, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301167?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co is ¥4.07 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.03.
What is the quality score of 301167?
Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co (301167)?
Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 356M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301167?
The net profit margin of Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co pay a dividend?
Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.65% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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