Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range ¥10.85 – ¥71.65 · fair‑value band ¥12.68 – ¥20.93 · the ¥31.77 price screens above the ¥16.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Shandong Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging Co., Ltd. engages in the development, production, and sale of special glass products in the People's Republic of China.
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Shandong Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging Co., Ltd. engages in the development, production, and sale of special glass products in the People's Republic of China. It offers pharmaceutical packaging products, such as glass molded injection and infusion bottle, glass ampoule, healthcare bottle, nasal spray bottle, and glass tube; kitchen glass products, including baking dish, measuring jug, casserole, mixing bowl with PP lid, baby food container, glass storage with compartment, and leakproof and knife/fork lid, lid with air vent, flat rims, and buldge top rim, as well as glass storage with one touch, detachable, frost finish, and simple lid. The company also provides optical glass comprising various bulbs, glass tubing, and PAR products, as well as lens for LED lamps. In addition, it offers heat resistance and electric lighting glass products. The company was formerly known as Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Shandong Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging Co., Ltd. in November 2024. Shandong Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging Co., Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Jinan, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188) currently trades at ¥31.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.90, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥26.42 per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥31.77 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥7.91, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥12.68 (bear) to ¥20.93 (bull), the price of ¥31.77 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. reported revenue of 981M CNY in FY2025 versus 889M CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 39.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −24.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 17.7B CNY (≈ $2.6B) · P/E ratio 389.9 · P/S ratio 15.8 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1700 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −47%, 301188 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥12.68Fair Value ¥16.90Bull ¥20.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0493 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−13.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20% vs −8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 7%
Compare Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 275 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.37× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)389.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B11.27× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)17.29× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA92.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 6
PAST (return on equity)9· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)81· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)6· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.90 versus a price of ¥31.77, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301188?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is ¥16.90 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥31.77.
What is the quality score of 301188?
Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥16.90 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥12.68, optimistic scenario ¥20.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥16.90, about −47% upside versus a price of ¥31.77 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥12.68, optimistic scenario ¥20.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. pay a dividend?
Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. it is ¥16.90 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥31.77. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 301188 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥31.77, fair value ¥16.90, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301188?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥31.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥16.90). For Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. the two are ¥14.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. at about 17.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥31.77; our models calculate a fair value of ¥16.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301188?
Our models span a range for Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥12.68, base ¥16.90, optimistic ¥20.93 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥31.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301188?
Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 389.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥16.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 11.3, P/S 17.3, EV/EBITDA 92.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 2.3%, debt of 0.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301188 from its 52-week high?
Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. trades at ¥31.77, about 57% below its 52-week high of ¥74.00 and 111% above the low of ¥15.04 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥16.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥31.77, calculated fair value ¥16.90 (−47%), Quality Score 35/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301188 calculated?
We run Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥16.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188) come from?
Earnings per share at Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. grew +3.2 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.3 %, EBIT margin −2.0 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
The market capitalisation of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is 17.7B CNY (≈ $2.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is 15.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. are ¥0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 389.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
The dividend yield of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is 0.3% (payout 58.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
The net margin of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is 4.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
The operating margin of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is 13.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
Revenue at Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is growing −17.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. are growing −48.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188) generate?
The free cash flow of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is −306M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. (301188) carry?
The net debt of Shandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.Ltd. is 93.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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