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Huaxin Resources Technology Co (301265) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 8.5B CNY

HR Huaxin Resources Technology Co 301265 · SHE
Price¥19.95
Fair Value¥4.17
Upside-79.1%
Quality62/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.37% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.13 – ¥4.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated today

Share price −16.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥31.84 ¥6.93 Fair Value ¥4.17 Dec 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

44‑month range ¥6.93 – ¥31.84 · fair‑value band ¥3.13 – ¥4.59 · the ¥19.95 price screens above the ¥4.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Huaxin Resources Technology Co (301265) currently trades at ¥19.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.17, implying the stock looks roughly 79.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Huaxin Resources Technology Co generated revenue of 935M CNY at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue grew 51.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 73.9. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.13 (bear case) to ¥4.59 (bull case); at ¥19.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -79%, 301265 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.90 ¥4.71 ¥3.86 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.08 ¥4.37 ¥4.63 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.44 ¥3.49 ¥4.53 68
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.35 ¥3.52 ¥4.59 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.6700 ¥0.9500 ¥1.24 46
EPV ¥4.08 ¥4.37 ¥4.63 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.13 ¥4.17 ¥5.21 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.53 ¥3.37 ¥4.22 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.53 ¥3.37 ¥4.22 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.52 ¥6.63 ¥7.73 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.03 ¥7.30 ¥8.58 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.58 ¥5.59 ¥6.60 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.45 ¥4.63 ¥6.91 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.90 ¥4.71 ¥3.86 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.08 ¥4.37 ¥4.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.44 ¥3.49 ¥4.53 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.63) versus Growth Earnings (¥3.49). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 935M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +51.4%
Net margin 8.7%
Return on equity 3.5%
Free cash flow −192M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 73.9
More key figures
Operating margin 13.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2700
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +169%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huaxin Resources Technology Co. Ltd. provides solid waste resource utilization, treatment, and disposal services. The company offers electronic waste and scrap motor vehicle dismantling, and waste electronic equipment recycling services.

Full company description

Huaxin Resources Technology Co. Ltd. provides solid waste resource utilization, treatment, and disposal services. The company offers electronic waste and scrap motor vehicle dismantling, and waste electronic equipment recycling services. It provides recycling and dismantling of televisions, refrigerators, air conditioners, washing machines, computers, range hoods, electric water heaters, gas water heaters, printers, copiers, fax machines, monitors, mobile phones, and telephones; disposal of hazardous waste; and community garbage classification and recycling of primary commodity. The company also involved in community garbage sorting and recycling; scrapped asset recovery of enterprises and institutions; confidential carrier destruction services; and recycling of scrapped cars. Huaxin Resources Technology Co. Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huaxin Resources Technology Co reported revenue of ¥863M in FY2025 versus ¥782M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥60.1M in FY2025, compounding −21.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
863M CNY
Latest YoY
+34.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 ¥782M
FY22 ¥752M
FY23 ¥730M
FY24 ¥641M
FY25 ¥863M
Net income −21.3%/yr
FY21 ¥156M
FY22 ¥112M
FY23 ¥88.6M
FY24 ¥47.2M
FY25 ¥60.1M

301265 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huaxin Resources Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301265

Peer Group

Waste Management · 168 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 51% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 73.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 59.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 22
PAST 14 · sector 25
HEALTH 100 · sector 81
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $226.32 $128.02 -43%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $215.08 $120.63 -44%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$230.52 C$78.67 -66%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €34.47 €23.26 -33%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $316.65 $154.01 -51%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$57.56 C$44.27 -23%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.75 ¥5.27 -22%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥15.68 ¥20.95 +34%
China Everbright Environment Group 0257 HK$5.00 HK$8.96 +79%
Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering & Technology, Inc 603588 ¥14.10 ¥9.35 -34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huaxin Resources Technology Co (301265) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.17 versus a price of ¥19.95, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301265?
Our model-based fair value for Huaxin Resources Technology Co is ¥4.17 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥19.95.
What is the quality score of 301265?
Huaxin Resources Technology Co has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huaxin Resources Technology Co (301265)?
Huaxin Resources Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 935M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301265?
The net profit margin of Huaxin Resources Technology Co is about 8.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huaxin Resources Technology Co pay a dividend?
Huaxin Resources Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.37% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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