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Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD (301335) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY

HT Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD 301335 · SHE
Price¥22.58
Fair Value¥10.20
Upside-54.8%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.90% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/13)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥7.65 – ¥12.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +15.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥44.02 ¥13.25 Fair Value ¥10.20 Nov 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

45‑month range ¥13.25 – ¥44.02 · fair‑value band ¥7.65 – ¥12.51 · the ¥22.58 price screens above the ¥10.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD (301335) currently trades at ¥22.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.20, implying the stock looks roughly 54.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD generated revenue of 3.1B CNY at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at 260M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.65 (bear case) to ¥12.51 (bull case); at ¥22.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -55%, 301335 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥10.81 ¥10.43 ¥8.66 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.19 ¥6.03 ¥6.75 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.74 ¥9.63 ¥12.51 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥1.35 ¥2.59 ¥4.74 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.15 ¥15.96 ¥22.04 54
Lynch FV ¥4.33 ¥6.19 ¥8.05 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.33 ¥6.19 ¥8.05 46
EPV ¥5.19 ¥6.03 ¥6.75 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.65 ¥10.20 ¥12.75 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.91 ¥7.88 ¥9.85 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.91 ¥7.88 ¥9.85 55
EV/EBIT ¥9.87 ¥13.20 ¥16.53 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.34 ¥16.50 ¥20.65 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.61 ¥9.50 ¥12.38 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.57 ¥10.15 ¥15.14 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.81 ¥10.43 ¥8.66 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.19 ¥6.03 ¥6.75 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.74 ¥9.63 ¥12.51 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥10.15) versus DCF Models (¥2.59). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.8%
Net margin 1.8%
Return on equity 2.0%
Free cash flow −84.6M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 51.5
More key figures
Operating margin 3.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4200
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -21.4%
Net debt 260M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD designs, develops, produces, and sells pet products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD designs, develops, produces, and sells pet products in China and internationally. It offers pet litter pads, cat climbing frames, pet toys, pet clothing, electronic pet supplies, pet food, and other categories of pet products, as well as cat trees and litter, pet beds, collars and leashes, cages, grooming and package products, corrugate products, and cat toilet and accessories. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD reported revenue of ¥3.0B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥58.8M in FY2025, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.7%
Revenue +12.8%/yr
FY21 ¥1.9B
FY22 ¥1.9B
FY23 ¥2.0B
FY24 ¥2.8B
FY25 ¥3.0B
Net income −14.0%/yr
FY21 ¥107M
FY22 ¥129M
FY23 ¥76.8M
FY24 ¥46.0M
FY25 ¥58.8M

301335 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301335

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −55% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 51.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.43× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 27.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 99 · sector 23
PAST 8 · sector 27
HEALTH 93 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 18 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD (301335) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.20 versus a price of ¥22.58, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301335?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD is ¥10.20 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥22.58.
What is the quality score of 301335?
Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD (301335)?
Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301335?
The net profit margin of Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD is about 1.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Tianyuan Pet Products CO., LTD currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.90% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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