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Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A ¥10.42, price ¥42.90, upside -75.7%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE100005LF0

LX Some data Oct 2, 2026

Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A

301349 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Quality 50/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +33.7 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 6.7% net margin (TTM)
0.5% dividend yield · Token dividend
Some data
Fair value ¥10.42 · Strongly overvalued (−75.7%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 31/100
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥75.60 ¥15.31 Fair Value ¥10.42 Sep 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

49‑month range ¥15.31 – ¥75.60 · fair‑value band ¥4.03 – ¥11.37 · the ¥42.90 price screens above the ¥10.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of negative electrode coating materials for lithium-ion batteries in China and internationally. It offers carbon fiber spinnable pitch, lithium-ion battery anode material, and pitch-based carbon fiber products.

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Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of negative electrode coating materials for lithium-ion batteries in China and internationally. It offers carbon fiber spinnable pitch, lithium-ion battery anode material, and pitch-based carbon fiber products. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Liaoyang, China.

Stock analysis

Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349) currently trades at ¥42.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.42, 75.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥12.83 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥42.90 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥3.00, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥4.03 (bear) to ¥11.37 (bull), the price of ¥42.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 1.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 492M CNY in FY2021, a compound +23.9%/yr. Reported net income was 38.6M CNY in FY2025, compounding −27.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 6.1B CNY (≈ $914M) · P/E ratio 61.3 · P/S ratio 2.04 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.7000 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −76%, 301349 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥4.03 Fair Value ¥10.42 Bull ¥11.37
Price ¥42.90 · Upside -75.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3728 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥12.43 ¥11.36 ¥10.87 76
Owner Earnings ¥6.73 ¥12.81 ¥24.09 73
ROIC Compounder ¥2.77 ¥3.00 ¥3.19 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥6.73 ¥12.81 ¥24.09 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.84 ¥12.85 ¥18.04 63
Lynch FV ¥6.26 ¥8.94 ¥11.62 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.26 ¥8.94 ¥11.62 57
EPV ¥2.77 ¥3.00 ¥3.19 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.46 ¥4.61 ¥5.76 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.46 ¥4.61 ¥5.76 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.46 ¥4.61 ¥5.76 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.89 ¥4.84 ¥5.78 66
EV/EBITDA ¥6.14 ¥7.84 ¥9.53 67
EV/Revenue ¥3.52 ¥4.57 ¥5.62 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥9.58 ¥12.83 ¥19.15 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥12.43 ¥11.36 ¥10.87 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.77 ¥3.00 ¥3.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.77 ¥11.10 ¥14.43 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 92
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 16
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+43.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−27.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.39% → 3%

301349 screens overvalued: fair value 76% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 721 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4.0% · Below median
Return on assets 1.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 76.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.24× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.13× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 35.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 59
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)10 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $482.38 $441.72 −8%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $319.51 $151.68 −53%
Ecolab Inc ECL $274.58 $96.56 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $277.57 $121.30 −56%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 234.23 TWD −2%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,360 CHF 1,527 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥69.45 ¥68.03 −2%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 92.30 CHF 29.70 −68%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,444 ₹1,479 −39%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $104.67 $76.98 −26%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301349

Frequently asked questions

Is Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.42 versus the last price from Sep 30, 2026 of ¥42.90, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301349?
Our model-based fair value for Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥10.42 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 30, 2026): ¥42.90.
What is the quality score of 301349?
Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥10.42 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.03, optimistic scenario ¥11.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥10.42, about −76% upside versus the last price from Sep 30, 2026 of ¥42.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.03, optimistic scenario ¥11.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.50% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥10.42 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ¥42.90. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 301349 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥42.90, fair value ¥10.42, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301349?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥42.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥10.42). For Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥32.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 6.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ¥42.90; our models calculate a fair value of ¥10.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301349?
Our models span a range for Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥4.03, base ¥10.42, optimistic ¥11.37 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ¥42.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301349?
Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 61.3 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥10.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 35.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
Balance-sheet figures for Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 4.0%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301349 from its 52-week high?
Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥42.90, about 43% below its 52-week high of ¥75.60 and 64% above the low of ¥26.16 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥10.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ¥42.90, calculated fair value ¥10.42 (−76%), Quality Score 50/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301349 calculated?
We run Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥10.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 30, 2026 and stands at ¥42.90. Our model-based fair value is ¥10.42, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (¥4.03 to ¥11.37). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
The market capitalisation of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is 6.1B CNY (≈ $914M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is 2.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
Earnings per share at Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.7000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 61.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
The dividend yield of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.5% (payout 30.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
The net margin of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is 3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
The operating margin of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
Revenue at Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing +76.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349)?
Earnings per share at Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A are growing +14.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349) generate?
The free cash flow of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is −268M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A (301349) carry?
The net debt of Liaoning Xinde New Material Technology Co. Ltd. A is 137M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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