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LyondellBasell Industries N.V (L1YB34) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · BR · Market cap R$111B

LI LyondellBasell Industries N.V L1YB34 · SA
PriceR$149.60
Fair ValueR$46.85
Upside-68.7%
Quality46/100
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Evidence: Medium Range R$35.14 – R$58.56

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −18.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R$229.16 R$115.60 Fair Value R$46.85 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range R$115.60 – R$229.16 · fair‑value band R$35.14 – R$58.56 · the R$149.60 price screens above the R$46.85 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

LyondellBasell Industries N.V (L1YB34) currently trades at R$149.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$46.85 — implying the stock looks roughly 68.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, LyondellBasell Industries N.V generated revenue of R$29.7B at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue declined 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.0%. Net debt stands at R$9.5B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$35.14 (bear case) to R$58.56 (bull case); at R$149.60, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside — at -69%, L1YB34 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$29.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.3%
Net margin -2.7%
Return on equity -6.0%
Free cash flow R$384M FY2025
Operating margin 3.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) R$-5.33
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -29.5%
Net debt R$9.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, China, Mexico, Italy, Japan, France, Poland, the Netherlands, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Olefins and Polyolefins"Americas; Olefins and Polyolefins"Europe, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; and Technology. The company produces and markets olefins and co-products, such as ethylene, aromatics, propylene and butadiene; polyolefins; polyethylene; polypropylene homopolymers and copolymers; propylene oxide and derivatives; oxyfuels and related products; and intermediate chemicals, such as styrene monomer and acetyls. It also produces and markets compounding and solutions, including polypropylene compounds, engineered plastics, masterbatches, and engineered composites and colors. In addition, it develops and licenses chemical and polyolefin process technologies; and manufactures and sells polyolefin catalysts and serves food …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

LyondellBasell Industries N.V reported revenue of R$30.2B in FY2025 versus R$46.2B in FY2021, a compound −10.1%/yr. Reported net income was −R$738M in FY2025.

Revenue −10.1%/yr
FY21 R$46.2B
FY22 R$50.5B
FY23 R$33.3B
FY24 R$33.4B
FY25 R$30.2B
Net income
FY21 R$5.6B
FY22 R$3.9B
FY23 R$2.1B
FY24 R$1.4B
FY25 −R$738M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LyondellBasell Industries N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/L1YB34

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Frequently asked questions

Is LyondellBasell Industries N.V (L1YB34) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$46.85 versus a price of R$149.60 — about −69% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of L1YB34?
Our model-based fair value for LyondellBasell Industries N.V is R$46.85 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$149.60.
What is the quality score of L1YB34?
LyondellBasell Industries N.V has a Quality Score of 46/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of LyondellBasell Industries N.V (L1YB34)?
LyondellBasell Industries N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$29.7B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of L1YB34?
The net profit margin of LyondellBasell Industries N.V is about -2.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does LyondellBasell Industries N.V pay a dividend?
LyondellBasell Industries N.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.80% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.