Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. ¥24.57, price ¥28.00, upside -12.3%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range ¥25.42 – ¥66.37 · fair‑value band ¥18.34 – ¥30.80 · the ¥28.00 price screens above the ¥24.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of polylactic acid products in China, North America, Europe, Australia, and internationally.
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Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of polylactic acid products in China, North America, Europe, Australia, and internationally. It offers paper and clear cups, cup lids, knives, forks, spoons, straws, stirring roads, foaming tableware, food packaging containers, packing bags, cup holders, and cup sleeves. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Hefei, China.
Stock analysis
Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501) currently trades at ¥28.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.57, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥41.07 per share, and 7 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥28.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥9.54, and 7 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥18.34 (bear) to ¥30.80 (bull), the price of ¥28.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 719M CNY in FY2021, a compound +26.6%/yr. Reported net income was 224M CNY in FY2025, compounding +29.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.1B CNY (≈ $618M) · P/E ratio 22.6 · P/S ratio 2.74 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.24 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 12.1% · Return on equity 8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 30.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −12%, 301501 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥18.34Fair Value ¥24.57Bull ¥30.80
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6510 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.2%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.100% → 14%
Compare Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 270 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−12% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301501
Frequently asked questions
Is Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥24.57 versus a price of ¥28.00, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301501?
Our model-based fair value for Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is ¥24.57 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥28.00.
What is the quality score of 301501?
Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥24.57 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥18.34, optimistic scenario ¥30.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥24.57, about −12% upside versus a price of ¥28.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥18.34, optimistic scenario ¥30.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. it is ¥24.57 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥28.00. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 301501 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥28.00, fair value ¥24.57, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301501?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥28.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥24.57). For Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. the two are ¥3.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. at about 4.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥28.00; our models calculate a fair value of ¥24.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301501?
Our models span a range for Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥18.34, base ¥24.57, optimistic ¥30.80 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥28.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301501?
Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥24.57 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 11.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.5%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301501 from its 52-week high?
Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. trades at ¥28.00, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥50.31 and 10% above the low of ¥25.42 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥24.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥28.00, calculated fair value ¥24.57 (−12%), Quality Score 32/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301501 calculated?
We run Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥24.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥28.00. Our model-based fair value is ¥24.57, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
The market capitalisation of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is 4.1B CNY (≈ $618M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is 2.74 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
Earnings per share at Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. are ¥1.24 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
The dividend yield of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is 1.3% (payout 28.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
The net margin of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is 12.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is 30.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
The operating margin of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
Revenue at Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is growing +7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501)?
Earnings per share at Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. are growing −63.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501) generate?
The free cash flow of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is −188M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (301501) carry?
The net debt of Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is 57.5M CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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