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Reach Machinery Co (301596) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 6.3B CNY

Price¥56.60
Fair Value¥16.80
Upside-70.3%
Quality91/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.42 – ¥23.42

Analysis

Reach Machinery Co (301596) currently trades at ¥56.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.80 — implying the stock looks roughly 70.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Reach Machinery Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of components for automation equipment transmission and braking systems in China and internationally. The company offers harmonic reducer, electromagnetic brakes, intelligent assisted driving products, precision transmission parts, expansion sleeves, flexible couplings, synchronous wheels, locking assemblies, timing pulley, couplings, and other materials center. Its products used in intelligent assisted driving, robots, servo motor, aerial work platform, micro reduction motor, wind power, elevators, lifting, electric forklifts, scooter, garden machinery, and stereoscopic garage products. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Chengdu, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.