Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
17‑month range ¥34.65 – ¥135.36 · fair‑value band ¥9.50 – ¥17.65 · the ¥57.93 price screens above the ¥13.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of material automation processing production lines and equipment in China and internationally.
Show more
Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of material automation processing production lines and equipment in China and internationally. The company offers dual planetary mixer, slurry mixing system, twin-screw continuous slurry mixer, ribbon mixer, ploughshare mixer, rod-pin bead mill, fully automatic big bag unloading and unpacking machine, automatic small bag unloading machine, layer by layer debagging machine, big bag packing machine, small and big bag unloading stations, jet mill, low speed kettle dryer, paddle mixer, semi-auto iron remover, high gravity material dispense mixer, multi-components suction and weighing scale, and IBC rotary mixer. It also provides material handlings systems, including mixing and drying, slurry mixing, intelligent control, dust collecting, packing, metering and dosing, pneumatic conveying, storage and arch breaking, unpacking and feeding, and dispersion grinding. The company's products are used in batteries, fine chemicals, food, medicine, rubber, plastic, material processing, and other industries. Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.
Stock analysis
Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662) currently trades at ¥57.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.58, implying the stock looks roughly 326.8% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥30.10 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the ¥57.93 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥8.51, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥9.50 (bear) to ¥17.65 (bull), the price of ¥57.93 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 2.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 579M CNY in FY2021, a compound +36.9%/yr. Reported net income was 59.9M CNY in FY2025, compounding +4.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 11.9B CNY (≈ $1.8B) · P/E ratio 56.8 · P/S ratio 1.67 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.02 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −77%, 301662 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥9.50Fair Value ¥13.58Bull ¥17.65
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4267 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.7%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.9%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 8%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+47.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−83% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth82% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)56.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B8.10× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.32× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF27.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA63.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)37· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)14· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.58 versus a price of ¥57.93, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301662?
Our model-based fair value for Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. is ¥13.58 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥57.93.
What is the quality score of 301662?
Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.58 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥9.50, optimistic scenario ¥17.65. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.58, about −77% upside versus a price of ¥57.93 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥9.50, optimistic scenario ¥17.65. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +47.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +43.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301662 use?
Our models discount Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. that is +47.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. grew +43.7 % a year. The price currently implies +47.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (+47.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.97 %: that much free cash flow Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. it is ¥13.58 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥57.93. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 301662 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥57.93, fair value ¥13.58, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301662?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥57.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.58). For Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. the two are ¥44.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. at about 11.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥57.93; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301662?
Our models span a range for Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥9.50, base ¥13.58, optimistic ¥17.65 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥57.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301662?
Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.58 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 8.1, P/S 5.3, EV/EBITDA 63.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 9.2%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301662 from its 52-week high?
Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. trades at ¥57.93, about 59% below its 52-week high of ¥142.56 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥57.93, calculated fair value ¥13.58 (−77%), Quality Score 28/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301662 calculated?
We run Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥13.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥9.50 to ¥17.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
The market capitalisation of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. is 11.9B CNY (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. is 1.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
Earnings per share at Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. are ¥1.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 56.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
The dividend yield of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. is 0.7% (payout 40.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
The net margin of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. is 2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
The operating margin of Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. is 24.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
Revenue at Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. is growing +82.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662)?
Earnings per share at Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. are growing +228% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. (301662) hold?
Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 36.0M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. in the live analysis
One click puts Ongoal Technology Co., Ltd. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
