Ultra Chip (3141) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ultra Chip TWD 13.73, price TWD 83.90, upside -83.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value 13.73 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−84%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y +3.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.43% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers(8/13)
!Narrow moat41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Ultra Chip, Inc. engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of LCD display IC products in Taiwan, Asia, Europe, and internationally.
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Ultra Chip, Inc. engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of LCD display IC products in Taiwan, Asia, Europe, and internationally. It offers professional display products for MP3, U-Key, POS machines, low-power cell phones, mobile phone service markets, handheld devices, and wearable devices; audio equipment, dashboard displays, trip computers, mileage meters, air conditioning controls, and head-up displays; and single-phase meters, three-phase meters, smart meters, flowmeters, industrial instruments, and smart appliances. The company also provides EPD driver and control IC products; sensor IC products; and BLDC control IC, motor driver IC, and high and low side driver IC products. Ultra Chip, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Ultra Chip (3141) currently trades at 83.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.73 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 510.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 22.48 TWD per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the 83.90 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3.80 TWD, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 10.30 TWD (bear) to 15.73 TWD (bull), the price of 83.90 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Ultra Chip reported revenue of 1.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound −12.0%/yr. Reported net income was 40.0M TWD in FY2025, compounding −50.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.2B TWD (≈ $196M) · P/E ratio 27.5 · P/S ratio 0.68 · EPS (TTM) 3.05 TWD · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −84%, 3141 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (3.80 TWD to 40.32 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 10.30 TWDFair Value 13.73 TWDBull 15.73 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.98 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−20.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 1%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 338 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)16% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)27.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.50× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)3.66× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA36.1× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)67· sector 64
PAST (return on equity)32· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 20
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ultra Chip Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3141
Frequently asked questions
Is Ultra Chip (3141) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.73 TWD versus a price of 83.90 TWD, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3141?
Our model-based fair value for Ultra Chip is 13.73 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 83.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3141?
Ultra Chip has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ultra Chip (3141)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.73 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 10.30 TWD, optimistic scenario 15.73 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ultra Chip stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.73 TWD, about −84% upside versus a price of 83.90 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 10.30 TWD, optimistic scenario 15.73 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ultra Chip (3141)?
Ultra Chip reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ultra Chip pay a dividend?
Ultra Chip currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ultra Chip (3141)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ultra Chip it is 13.73 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 83.90 TWD. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ultra Chip stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3141 trades above its calculated fair value: price 83.90 TWD, fair value 13.73 TWD, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3141?
No. The price is what the market pays today (83.90 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.73 TWD). For Ultra Chip the two are 70.17 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ultra Chip worth?
The market values Ultra Chip at about 6.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 83.90 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 13.73 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3141?
Our models span a range for Ultra Chip: cautious scenario 10.30 TWD, base 13.73 TWD, optimistic 15.73 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 83.90 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3141?
Ultra Chip trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.73 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 36.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ultra Chip (3141)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ultra Chip (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.0%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3141 from its 52-week high?
Ultra Chip trades at 83.90 TWD, about 18% below its 52-week high of 102.50 TWD and 111% above the low of 39.80 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.73 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ultra Chip?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ultra Chip stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 83.90 TWD, calculated fair value 13.73 TWD (−84%), Quality Score 52/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3141 calculated?
We run Ultra Chip through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 13.73 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ultra Chip itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ultra Chip (3141)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 83.90 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 13.73 TWD, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ultra Chip right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15.73 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Ultra Chip
How large is the market capitalisation of Ultra Chip (3141)?
The market capitalisation of Ultra Chip is 6.2B TWD (≈ $196M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ultra Chip (3141)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ultra Chip is 0.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ultra Chip (3141)?
Earnings per share at Ultra Chip are 3.05 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ultra Chip (3141)?
The dividend yield of Ultra Chip is 0.4% (payout 11.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ultra Chip (3141)?
The net margin of Ultra Chip is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ultra Chip (3141)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ultra Chip is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ultra Chip (3141)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ultra Chip is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ultra Chip (3141)?
The operating margin of Ultra Chip is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ultra Chip (3141)?
Revenue at Ultra Chip is growing +13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ultra Chip (3141)?
Earnings per share at Ultra Chip are growing +127% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ultra Chip (3141) generate?
The free cash flow of Ultra Chip is −281M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ultra Chip (3141) carry?
The net debt of Ultra Chip is 222M TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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