Binjiang Service Group Co (3316) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Binjiang Service Group Co HK$51.45, price HK$20.92, upside +145.9%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Binjiang Service Group Co for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$10.60 – HK$27.98 · fair‑value band HK$30.94 – HK$91.63 · the HK$20.92 price screens below the HK$51.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Binjiang Service Group Co in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Binjiang Service Group Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Binjiang Service Group Co. Ltd. provides property management and related services in the People's Republic of China. Its property management services include security, cleaning, gardening, repair, maintenance, and ancillary services, as well as charges service fees from residents and property owners or real estate developers.
Show more
Binjiang Service Group Co. Ltd. provides property management and related services in the People's Republic of China. Its property management services include security, cleaning, gardening, repair, maintenance, and ancillary services, as well as charges service fees from residents and property owners or real estate developers. The company also offers value-added services, comprising pre-delivery, consulting, and community space services, to non-property owners primarily to property developers; property sales and leasing agency, car parking space, and storage room services, as well as home living, interior design, customized furnishing, facility upgrade, and maintenance services to property owners. In addition, the company provides housekeeping, brokerage, mall, information consulting, and home decoration services. Further, it offers land reserve management services, including land management and maintenance, green planting and maintenance, wall and fence painting works, muck removal and transportation, installation and management of monitoring devices, and others. Binjiang Service Group Co. Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China. The company is a subsidiary of Great Dragon Ventures Limited.
Stock analysis
Binjiang Service Group Co (3316) currently trades at HK$20.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$51.45, implying the stock looks roughly 59.3% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$81.70 per share, and 13 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$20.92 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$16.47, and 3 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$30.94 (bear) to HK$91.63 (bull), the price of HK$20.92 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Binjiang Service Group Co reported revenue of 4.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +30.9%/yr. Reported net income was 596M CNY in FY2025, compounding +16.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$5.8B (≈ $737M) · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 1.21 · EPS (TTM) HK$2.52 · Dividend yield 7.7% · Net margin 14.5% · Return on equity 36.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 146%, 3316 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$30.94Fair Value HK$51.45Bull HK$91.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +38.4% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.4%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+29.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.22.1% vs 42.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 19%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−36.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −37.4% a year for the price and +7.9% for the forecasts.
Compare Binjiang Service Group Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 540 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+145.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)36.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets10.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)14.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)18.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Binjiang Service Group Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3316
Frequently asked questions
Is Binjiang Service Group Co (3316) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$51.45 versus a price of HK$20.92, about +146% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3316?
Our model-based fair value for Binjiang Service Group Co is HK$51.45 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$20.92.
What is the quality score of 3316?
Binjiang Service Group Co has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$51.45 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$30.94, optimistic scenario HK$91.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Binjiang Service Group Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$51.45, about +146% upside versus a price of HK$20.92 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$30.94, optimistic scenario HK$91.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
Binjiang Service Group Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Binjiang Service Group Co pay a dividend?
Binjiang Service Group Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.75% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Binjiang Service Group Co would have to grow free cash flow by -36.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +33.7 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3316 use?
Our models discount Binjiang Service Group Co at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Binjiang Service Group Co that is -36.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Binjiang Service Group Co (3316) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Binjiang Service Group Co grew +33.7 % a year. The price currently implies -36.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Binjiang Service Group Co (-36.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.60 %: that much free cash flow Binjiang Service Group Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Binjiang Service Group Co it is HK$51.45 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$20.92. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Binjiang Service Group Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 3316 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$20.92, fair value HK$51.45, a gap of about +146% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3316?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$20.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$51.45). For Binjiang Service Group Co the two are HK$30.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Binjiang Service Group Co worth?
The market values Binjiang Service Group Co at about HK$5.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$20.92; our models calculate a fair value of HK$51.45 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3316?
Our models span a range for Binjiang Service Group Co: cautious scenario HK$30.94, base HK$51.45, optimistic HK$91.63 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$20.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3316?
Binjiang Service Group Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$51.45 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 4.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
Balance-sheet figures for Binjiang Service Group Co (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 36.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3316 from its 52-week high?
Binjiang Service Group Co trades at HK$20.92, about 24% below its 52-week high of HK$27.60 and 2% above the low of HK$20.50 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$51.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Binjiang Service Group Co?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Binjiang Service Group Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$20.92, calculated fair value HK$51.45 (+146%), Quality Score 71/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3316 calculated?
We run Binjiang Service Group Co through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$51.45, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Binjiang Service Group Co currently trades 59 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$20.92. Our model-based fair value is HK$51.45, about +146% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Binjiang Service Group Co right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$30.94). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (HK$30.94 to HK$91.63). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316) come from?
Earnings per share at Binjiang Service Group Co grew +49.9 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +40.1 %, EBIT margin +6.2 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Binjiang Service Group Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
The market capitalisation of Binjiang Service Group Co is HK$5.8B (≈ $737M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Binjiang Service Group Co is 1.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
Earnings per share at Binjiang Service Group Co are HK$2.52 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
The dividend yield of Binjiang Service Group Co is 7.7% (payout 64.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
The net margin of Binjiang Service Group Co is 14.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Binjiang Service Group Co is 36.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Binjiang Service Group Co is 17.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
The operating margin of Binjiang Service Group Co is 18.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
Revenue at Binjiang Service Group Co is growing +6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Binjiang Service Group Co (3316)?
Earnings per share at Binjiang Service Group Co are growing +5.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Binjiang Service Group Co (3316) hold?
Binjiang Service Group Co holds more cash than debt, 1.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Binjiang Service Group Co in the live analysis
One click puts Binjiang Service Group Co on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
